Deck 12: Unemployment and Inflation

Question 1

Friedman and Phelps suggested that there should not be a stable relationship between inflation and unemployment,but there should be a stable relationship between

A)anticipated inflation and frictional unemployment.
B)anticipated inflation and cyclical unemployment.
C)unanticipated inflation and frictional unemployment.
D)unanticipated inflation and cyclical unemployment.

Answer 1

D

Question 2

The Phillips curve is the relation between inflation and unemployment that holds for a given natural rate of unemployment and a

A)given rate of inflation.
B)given expected rate of inflation.
C)given level of unemployment.
D)given expected level of unemployment.

Answer 2

B

Question 3

The Phillips curve appeared to fit the data well for the United States in the

A)1960s.
B)1970s.
C)1980s.
D)1990s.

Answer 3

A

Question 4

The negative relationship between unemployment and inflation is known as the

A)aggregate supply curve.
B)aggregate demand curve.
C)Phillips curve.
D)efficiency wage line.

Question 5

The Phillips curve is a negative empirical relationship between

A)bond prices and interest rates.
B)unemployment and output.
C)inflation and the real interest rate.
D)unemployment and inflation.

Question 6

In the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,? = ?e - 3(u - ).If ? = 0.03 when ?e = 0.06 and u = 0.06,then =

A)0)02.
B)0)03.
C)0)04.
D)0)05.

Question 7

In the extended classical model,an anticipated decrease in the money supply would cause output to ________ and the price level to ________ in the short run.

A)increase; decrease
B)increase; remain unchanged
C)remain unchanged; increase
D)remain unchanged; decrease

Question 8

Phillips's research looked at British data on

A)unemployment and inflation.
B)unemployment and nominal wage growth.
C)inflation and nominal wage growth.
D)unemployment and output.

Question 9

In the extended classical model,an unanticipated increase in the money supply would cause output to ________ and the price level to ________ in the short run.

A)increase; increase
B)decrease; remain unchanged
C)remain unchanged; increase
D)decrease; decrease

Question 10

The origin of the idea of a trade-off between inflation and unemployment was a 1958 article by

A)A)W.Phillips.
B)Edmund Phelps.
C)Milton Friedman.
D)Robert Gordon.

Question 11

Suppose most people had anticipated that inflation would be 3% in the coming year because the Fed would increase the money supply by 3%.Instead,the Fed increases the money supply by 5%.In the short run,this would cause actual output to be ________ full-employment output and prices to increase by ________ 3%.

A)above; more than
B)above; less than
C)below; more than
D)below; less than

Question 12

Milton Friedman and Edmund Phelps questioned

A)the use of expectations in the Phillips curve.
B)the stability of the relationship between inflation and unemployment.
C)the existence of a natural rate of unemployment.
D)the existence of a full-employment level of output.

Question 13

In the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,? = ?e - 3(u - 0.06).When ? = 0.06 and ?e = 0.03,the unemployment rate is

A)0)04.
B)0)05.
C)0)06.
D)0)07.

Question 14

Based on the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,if the natural rate of unemployment is 0.06,and if the actual inflation rate exceeds the expected inflation rate,then the unemployment rate is

A)less than 0.06
B)0)06.
C)more than 0.06.
D)0)06 plus 0.5 times the difference between actual and expected inflation.

Question 15

In the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,? = ?e - 3(u - 0.05).When ? = 0.03 and ?e = 0.06,the unemployment rate is

A)0)04.
B)0)05.
C)0)06.
D)0)07.

Question 16

In the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,? = ?e - 3(u - ).If ? = 0.09 when ?e = 0.06 and u = 0.06,then =

A)0)02.
B)0)03.
C)0)04.
D)0)05.

Question 17

In the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,? = ?e - 3(u - 0.05).When ? = 0.06 and ?e = 0.03,the unemployment rate is

A)0)04.
B)0)05.
C)0)06.
D)0)07.

Question 18

In the extended classical model,an unexpected decrease in aggregate demand would cause unanticipated inflation to be ________ and cyclical unemployment to be ________.

A)positive; negative
B)positive; positive
C)negative; negative
D)negative; positive

Question 19

In the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,? = ?e - 3(u - ).If ? = 0.06 when ?e = 0.06 and u = 0.04,then =

A)0)02.
B)0)03.
C)0)04.
D)0)05.

Question 20

Based on the theory of the expectations-augmented Phillips curve,if the expected inflation rate is 2%,the short-run Phillips curve will

A)have a kink at an inflation rate of 2%.
B)be the same as the long-run Phillips curve.
C)intersect the long-run Phillips curve at the natural unemployment rate,when the inflation rate is 2%.
D)be horizontal at an expected inflation rate of 2%.

Question 21

Examining data on cyclical unemployment plotted against unanticipated inflation shows

A)a positive relationship.
B)a negative relationship.
C)no significant relationship.
D)a relationship only during the 1960s.

Question 22

A beneficial supply shock would cause

A)a movement up the short-run Phillips curve.
B)a movement down the short-run Phillips curve.
C)the short-run Phillips curve to shift upward and to the right.
D)the short-run Phillips curve to shift downward and to the left.

Question 23

Historically,Brazil has suffered higher and more variable rates of inflation than Venezuela.You would expect the short-run aggregate supply curve of Brazil to be ________ than that of Venezuela,and the Phillips curve of Brazil to be ________ than that of Venezuela.

A)flatter; flatter
B)flatter; steeper
C)steeper; flatter
D)steeper; steeper

Question 24

The expectations-augmented Phillips curve is
? = ?e - 2(u - 0.06).
(a)Graph the long-run Phillips curve and the short-run Phillips curve for an expected inflation rate of 0.04.If the Fed chooses to keep the actual inflation rate at 0.04,what will be the unemployment rate? Label the equilibrium point "A".What is the numerical value of the natural rate of unemployment?
(b)An aggregate demand shock (resulting from increased exports of goods)raises the inflation rate to 0.06 (the natural rate of unemployment and the expected inflation rate are not affected).Show what happens on your graph.Label the equilibrium point "B".What is the numerical value of the unemployment rate?
(c)In response to the aggregate demand shock,suppose the Fed allows the inflation rate of 0.06 to persist.Show what happens on your graph,labeling the equilibrium point "C".In the long run,what is the numerical value of the unemployment rate?
(d)From the situation in part (c),suppose a supply shock raises the natural rate of unemployment by .01 from its original value.If both the inflation rate and the expected inflation rate do not change,show what happens in your graph,labeling the equilibrium point "D".What is the numerical value of the unemployment rate?

Question 25

State and briefly explain whether or not the empirical evidence generally supports the belief that there is a fixed trade-off between unemployment and inflation,such that monetary policymakers can achieve the combination they prefer.

Question 26

The relationship between inflation and unemployment is given by
? = ?e - 2(u - ).
(a)Draw a diagram showing a long-run Phillips curve and two short-run Phillips curves that contain the following points:
A: ? = .03,?e = .03
B: ? = .06,?e = .06
C: ? = .03,?e = .06
D: ? = .06,?e = .03
Label points A,B,C,and D in your diagram.
The unemployment rate at point A equals .05.
(b)What are the values of the natural rate of unemployment and the unemployment rates at points B,C,and D?

Question 27

The relationship between inflation and unemployment is given by
? = ?e - 3(u - 0.06).
(a)Graph the long-run Phillips curve and three short-run Phillips curves.
(b)What is the value of the natural rate of unemployment?
(c)If actual inflation is 0.02 and expected inflation is 0.05,what is the unemployment rate?
(d)If actual inflation is 0.08 and expected inflation is 0.05,what is the unemployment rate?

Question 28

An increase in the expected rate of inflation would

A)shift the Phillips curve upward.
B)shift the Phillips curve downward.
C)shift the long-run Phillips curve to the right.
D)shift the long-run Phillips curve to the left.

Question 29

If the expected rate of inflation rose at the same time the natural rate of unemployment rose,the Phillips curve

A)would shift down.
B)would shift up.
C)would not move.
D)might shift up or down or not move,depending on which effect was larger.

Question 30

You are given the following information about the economy.

The natural rate of unemployment is 0.04,Okun's Law is that ,and the Phillips curve relationship is
(a)What was the full-employment level of output in each year?
(b)Calculate the growth rate of full-employment output each year.
(c)If expected inflation was 0.04 for all four years,what was the inflation rate each year?

Question 31

If the expected inflation rate is unchanged,a fall in the natural rate of unemployment would

A)shift the Phillips curve to the right.
B)not shift the Phillips curve.
C)shift the Phillips curve to the left.
D)shift the Phillips curve to the left and shift the long-run Phillips curve to the right.

Question 32

Consider the following misperceptions model of the economy.
AD: Y = 600 + 10(M/P)
SRAS: Y = + P - Pe
Okun's Law: (Y - ) / = -2(u - )
Let = 750,= 0.05,M = 600,and Pe = 40.
(a)What is the price level?
(b)Suppose there is an unanticipated increase in the nominal money supply to 800.What is the short-run equilibrium level of output,the unemployment rate,and the price level?
(c)When price expectations adjust fully,what is the price level?

Question 33

The Friedman-Phelps analysis shows that a negative relationship between inflation and unemployment holds

A)even when expected inflation changes.
B)even when the natural rate of unemployment changes.
C)even if both the expected inflation rate and the natural rate of unemployment change.
D)as long as the expected inflation rate and the natural rate of unemployment are approximately constant.

Question 34

The Phillips curve shifted during the 1970s primarily because of

A)the two large oil price shocks.
B)the changing demographics of the population.
C)tight monetary policy.
D)easy fiscal policy.

Question 35

The Friedman-Phelps analysis suggests that there is a long-term relationship between

A)inflation and unemployment.
B)cyclical inflation and structural unemployment.
C)unanticipated inflation and cyclical unemployment.
D)anticipated inflation and structural unemployment.

Question 36

The expectations-augmented Phillips curve is
? = ?e - 3(u - 0.05).
(a)Graph the long-run Phillips curve and the short-run Phillips curve for an expected inflation rate of 0.03.If the Fed chooses to keep the actual inflation rate at 0.03,what will be the unemployment rate? Label the equilibrium point "A".What is the numerical value of the natural rate of unemployment?
(b)An aggregate demand shock (resulting from increased exports of goods)raises the inflation rate to 0.06 (the natural rate of unemployment and the expected inflation rate are not affected).Show what happens on your graph.Label the equilibrium point "B".What is the numerical value of the unemployment rate?
(c)In response to the aggregate demand shock,suppose the Fed allows the inflation rate of 0.06 to persist.Show what happens on your graph,labeling the equilibrium point "C".In the long run,what is the numerical value of the unemployment rate?
(d)From the situation in part (c),suppose a supply shock (an oil price increase)raises the natural rate of unemployment by .01 from its original value.If the expected inflation rate does not change,show what happens in your graph,labeling the equilibrium point "D".

Question 37

Classicals argue that an adverse supply shock would

A)raise neither the natural rate of unemployment nor the actual rate of unemployment.
B)raise the actual rate of unemployment,but not the natural rate of unemployment.
C)raise the natural rate of unemployment,but not the actual rate of unemployment.
D)raise both the natural rate of unemployment and the actual rate of unemployment.

Question 38

Suppose Okun's law holds and a one percentage point increase in the unemployment rate reduces real output by 2% of full-employment output.The expectations-augmented Phillips curve is given by
? = ?e - 2.5 (u - 0.04).
Suppose ? = 0.08 and ?e = 0.03.
(a)What is the natural rate of unemployment?
(b)What is the actual rate of unemployment?
(c)How much is actual GDP compared with full-employment GDP?

Question 39

An analysis of the American economy since 1960 shows that there is a stable relationship between inflation and unemployment

A)only in the short run.
B)only in the long run.
C)in neither the short run nor the long run.
D)in both the short run and the long run

Question 40

The relationship between inflation and unemployment is given by
? = ?e - 4(u - ).
(a)Draw a diagram showing a long-run Phillips curve and two short-run Phillips curves that contain the following points:
A: ? = .04,?e = .04
B: ? = .08,?e = .08
C: ? = .04,?e = .08
D: ? = .08,?e = .04
Label points A,B,C,and D in your diagram.
The unemployment rate at point A equals .05.
(b)What are the values of the natural rate of unemployment and the unemployment rates at points B,C,and D?

Question 41

The bulk of the decline in the natural rate of unemployment since 1980 is because of

A)a decline in the inflation rate.
B)a decline in the share of young workers in the labor force.
C)increased competition from foreign workers.
D)the depreciation of the dollar relative to foreign currencies.

Question 42

Starting on a Phillips curve with expected inflation equal to 5% and unemployment at its natural rate,show what happens to unemployment if the Fed tries to reduce inflation,but has no credibility.As time passes and people realize that the inflation rate is now lower,what happens to the short-run Phillips curve?

Question 43

Some economists argue that Okun's Law overstates the cost of cyclical unemployment because

A)the cost of retraining workers must be offset against the loss in output that occurs when workers are unemployed.
B)if efficiency wages prevail,and workers are paid their real wage,already employed workers will reduce their effort,reducing output.
C)it ignores the fact that leisure increases during a recession.
D)it ignores the loss of government revenue and additional government expenditures that occur when unemployment rises.

Question 44

What is the relation between the unemployment rate and the proportion of unemployed workers who have been unemployed for 15 weeks or longer?

A)Both rise in recessions.
B)Both rise in expansions.
C)The unemployment rises in recessions but the proportion of unemployed workers who have been unemployed for 15 weeks or longer declines in recessions.
D)The unemployment falls in recessions but the proportion of unemployed workers who have been unemployed for 15 weeks or longer rises in recessions.

Question 45

The argument that when policy changes,people's behavior changes so that historical relationships between macroeconomic variables will no longer hold is known as

A)the Phillips curve.
B)the policy irrelevance hypothesis.
C)hysteresis.
D)the Lucas critique.

Question 46

When the economy goes into a recession,there's an increase in

A)frictional unemployment.
B)structural unemployment.
C)cyclical unemployment.
D)voluntary unemployment.

Question 47

The fact that the long-run Phillips curve is vertical implies that

A)monetary policy can't affect unemployment.
B)money is neutral in the long run.
C)there is a natural rate of inflation.
D)money can't affect inflation in the long run.

Question 48

The long-run Phillips curve is

A)vertical.
B)horizontal.
C)upward sloping.
D)downward sloping.

Question 49

One reason for the fall in the natural rate of unemployment since 1980 is

A)changes in the demographic composition of the work force.
B)the decline in inflation.
C)increased competition from foreign workers.
D)the depreciation of the dollar relative to foreign currencies.

Question 50

According to Okun's law,if full-employment output is $5,000 billion,then each percentage point of unemployment sustained for one year reduces output by

A)$50 billion.
B)$100 billion.
C)$150 billion.
D)$200 billion.

Question 51

In years when teenagers become a greater percentage of the labor force,

A)the natural rate of unemployment falls.
B)the natural rate of unemployment rises.
C)the inflation rate rises.
D)the inflation rate falls.

Question 52

Why did the government use expansionary monetary policies in the late 1970s,and what was the principal negative macroeconomic effect of these policies?

Question 53

The natural rate of unemployment in the United States generally ________ from 1960 to 1980 and ________ from 1980 to 1995.

A)fell; rose
B)fell; fell
C)rose; fell
D)rose; rose

Question 54

What is the Lucas critique,and why was it so important to macroeconomists in the 1970s?

Question 55

The idea that new policies change the economic rules and affect economic behavior,so that no one can safely assume that historical relationships between variables will hold when policies change,is known as

A)Okun's Law.
B)Say's Law.
C)the equation of exchange.
D)the Lucas critique.

Question 56

A difficulty faced by policymakers who wish to use the unemployment rate as a guide to whether the economy is weak or strong is that

A)the natural rate of unemployment is hard to measure.
B)the natural rate of unemployment almost never changes.
C)policymakers must use data on output to tell whether the unemployment rate is too high or too low.
D)the impact of policy on the economy is subject to long and variable lags.

Question 57

Both classicals and Keynesians agree that policymakers

A)can exploit the Phillips curve in the short run.
B)cannot exploit the Phillips curve in the short run.
C)can keep the unemployment rate permanently below the natural rate by permanently running a high rate of inflation.
D)cannot keep the unemployment rate permanently below the natural rate by permanently running a high rate of inflation.

Question 58

The Lucas critique is an objection to the assumption that

A)inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon.
B)there is a negative relationship between inflation and unemployment.
C)historical relationships between macroeconomic variables will continue to hold after new policies are in place.
D)people form expectations rationally.

Question 59

Describe the principal costs of unemployment.Are there any benefits to unemployment?

Question 60

Because the natural rate of unemployment is not known precisely,policymakers who use it as a guide for policy must be

A)less aggressive with policy changes than they would be if they knew the value of the natural rate.
B)more aggressive with policy changes than they would be if they knew the value of the natural rate.
C)ready to change policy more quickly.
D)aware of other data.

Question 61

A COLA is

A)a center of labor activity.
B)a cost of living adjustment.
C)a contract on long-term assets.
D)a crisis of labor analysis.

Question 62

When actual inflation is greater than expected inflation

A)the natural rate of unemployment rises,according to Phillips-curve analysis.
B)cyclical unemployment rises,according to Phillips-curve analysis.
C)there are transfers from borrowers to lenders.
D)there are transfers from lenders to borrowers.

Question 63

Keynesians prefer a disinflation policy of

A)cold turkey.
B)stabilization.
C)gradualism.
D)aggregate demand management.

Question 64

Shoe leather costs are

A)the costs in time and effort incurred by people and firms who are trying to minimize their holdings of cash because of inflation.
B)the costs of changing prices,such as printing and mailing catalogues.
C)the costs of the redistribution of wealth between lenders and borrowers.
D)the costs associated with the confusion of prices as signals.

Question 65

A rapid and decisive reduction in the rate of growth of the money supply for the purpose of disinflation is called

A)a salt water policy.
B)a cold shower policy.
C)gradualism.
D)a cold turkey policy.

Question 66

The costs in time and effort incurred by people and firms who are trying to minimize their holdings of cash because of inflation are called

A)menu costs.
B)shoe leather costs.
C)transactions costs.
D)imperfect competition costs.

Question 67

Hyperinflation occurs when

A)the inflation rate rises.
B)the inflation rate declines.
C)the inflation rate is extremely high.
D)the inflation rate is extremely low.

Question 68

If you were president of the United States,what would you do to reduce the natural rate of unemployment? Propose at least three different methods.

Question 69

Ball found that the disinflation of the early 1980s in the United States had a sacrifice ratio of about

A)0)
B)1)
C)2)
D)3)

Question 70

The costs of disinflation would be low if

A)expected inflation falls as inflation falls.
B)wage and price controls were used.
C)the Phillips curve were nearly horizontal.
D)the Phillips curve adjusted slowly to changes in inflation.

Question 71

One cost of an unanticipated inflation is that it

A)transfers wealth from lenders to borrowers.
B)transfers wealth from borrowers to lenders.
C)decreases menu costs.
D)increases the purchasing power of money.

Question 72

The sacrifice ratio is

A)the amount of output lost when the inflation rate is reduced by one percentage point.
B)the percentage reduction in inflation when output falls one percentage point below potential.
C)the percentage change in employment when output declines by one percentage point.
D)the number of percentage points that the unemployment rate rises when output declines by one percentage point.

Question 73

Ball's research showed that the sacrifice ratio

A)was the same for all countries.
B)was nearly zero for most countries.
C)was about 10 for all countries except the United States,where it was about 2.
D)varied considerably across countries.

Question 74

When actual inflation is less than expected inflation

A)the natural rate of unemployment falls,according to Phillips-curve analysis.
B)cyclical unemployment falls,according to Phillips-curve analysis.
C)there are transfers from borrowers to lenders.
D)there are transfers from lenders to borrowers.

Question 75

Suppose expected inflation in the economy is 5%.Banks set nominal interest rates so they'll earn a 2% expected real return.Employers set nominal wages based on a 2% expected real wage increase.Suppose the nominal interest rate and nominal wages are determined this way,but actual inflation turns out to differ from the expected inflation rate.Calculate the actual real interest rate and the percent increase in the real wage for each of the following actual inflation rates: a)2%; b)5%; c)10%.

Question 76

Describe the major costs of inflation,being sure to distinguish between anticipated and unanticipated inflation.

Question 77

The reduction of the inflation rate is called

A)deflation.
B)disinflation.
C)unflation.
D)reflation.

Question 78

The amount of output lost when the inflation rate is reduced by one percentage point is called

A)Okun's law.
B)the sacrifice ratio.
C)the Solow residual.
D)Planck's constant.

Question 79

Which of the following disinflationary monetary policies would classical economists prefer?

A)A cold turkey approach that is announced and credible.
B)A cold turkey approach that is announced,but not credible.
C)A gradual approach that is announced and credible.
D)A gradual approach that is unannounced.

Question 80

One cost of a perfectly anticipated inflation is that it

A)transfers wealth from lenders to borrowers.
B)transfers wealth from borrowers to lenders.
C)increases menu costs.
D)damages the role of prices as signals in the economy.