Deck 10: Analysis and Valuation
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ملء الشاشة (f)
Deck 10: Analysis and Valuation
1
12 An analyst constructs a privately held firm's cost of equity using the "build-up" method. The 10-year Treasury bond rate is 4% and the historical equity risk premium for the S&P 500 stock index is 5.5%. The risk premium associated with firms of this size is 3.8% and for firms within this industry is 2.4%. Based on due diligence, the analyst estimates the risk premium specific to this firm to be 2.5%. What is the firm's cost of equity based on this information?
4.0% + 5.5% + 3.8% +2.4% +2.5% = 18.2%
2
are some of the reasons a family-owned or privately-owned business may want to go public? What are
some of the reasons that discourage such firms from going public?
some of the reasons that discourage such firms from going public?
Private or family owned firms are more likely to go public when valuations are high or are increasing. Companies also are inclined to go public when they anticipate an inability to finance future investment opportunities or the outlook for the future profitability is unclear. In contrast, private firms are less likely to go public because of the increasing reporting requirements of Sarbanes-Oxley and the SEC, as well as concern about interference from public shareholders. Private firms also are less likely to go public when the special privileges that accrue to the controlling shareholders exceed the anticipated benefits from going public.
3
14 Based on its growth prospects, a private investor values a local bakery at $750,000. She believes
that cost savings having a present value of $50,000 can be achieved by changing staffing levels and
store hours. Based on recent empirical studies, she believes the appropriate liquidity discount is 20
percent. A recent transaction in the same city required the buyer to pay a 5 percent premium to the
asking price to gain a controlling interest in a similar business. What is the most she should be
willing to pay for a 50.1 percent stake in the bakery?
that cost savings having a present value of $50,000 can be achieved by changing staffing levels and
store hours. Based on recent empirical studies, she believes the appropriate liquidity discount is 20
percent. A recent transaction in the same city required the buyer to pay a 5 percent premium to the
asking price to gain a controlling interest in a similar business. What is the most she should be
willing to pay for a 50.1 percent stake in the bakery?
The investor should not offer more than $336,672.
Maximum Offer Price (50.1%) = ($750,000+$50,000) x (1-.2)(1+.05) x .501 = $336,672
Maximum Offer Price (50.1%) = ($750,000+$50,000) x (1-.2)(1+.05) x .501 = $336,672
4
are common reasons for a private firm to go public? What are the advantages and disadvantages or doing so? Be specific.
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5
11 It is usually appropriate to adjust the financials received from the target firm to reflect any changes that you
as the new owner would make in order to create an adjusted EBITDA. Using the Excel spreadsheet entitled
"Adjusting Target Firm's Financials" on the CDROM accompanying this book, make at least two
adjustments to the target's hypothetical financials to determine the impact on the adjusted EBITDA. (Note:
The adjustments should be made in the section on the spreadsheet entitled "Adjustments to Target Firm's
Financials.") Explain your rationale for each adjustment.
as the new owner would make in order to create an adjusted EBITDA. Using the Excel spreadsheet entitled
"Adjusting Target Firm's Financials" on the CDROM accompanying this book, make at least two
adjustments to the target's hypothetical financials to determine the impact on the adjusted EBITDA. (Note:
The adjustments should be made in the section on the spreadsheet entitled "Adjustments to Target Firm's
Financials.") Explain your rationale for each adjustment.
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6
2 What are the common ways of estimating the capitalization rate?
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7
10 Rank from the highest to the lowest the liquidity discount you would apply if you as a business appraiser had
been asked to value the following businesses: a) a local, profitable hardware store, b) a money losing
laundry, c) a large privately owned but marginally profitable firm with significant excess cash balances and
other liquid short-term investments, and d) a pool cleaning service whose primary tangible assets consist of
a 2-year old truck and miscellaneous equipment. Explain your ranking.
been asked to value the following businesses: a) a local, profitable hardware store, b) a money losing
laundry, c) a large privately owned but marginally profitable firm with significant excess cash balances and
other liquid short-term investments, and d) a pool cleaning service whose primary tangible assets consist of
a 2-year old truck and miscellaneous equipment. Explain your ranking.
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8
7 Why might succession planning be more challenging for family owned firms?
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9
is it likely that shares trade at a discount from their value when issued if investors attempted to sell such shares within one year following closing of the reverse merger?
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10
4 Give examples of private company costs that might be understated and explain why.
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11
is the purpose of ultimately listing of a major stock exchange such as NASDAQ?
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12
were the options available to One Group LLC to raise capital to finance their expansion plans? Discuss
the pros and cons of each. Be specific.
the pros and cons of each. Be specific.
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13
9 Why are family owned firms often attractive to private equity investors?
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14
are corporate shells, and how can they create value? Be specific.
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15
5 How can an analyst determine if the target firm's costs and revenues are understated or overstated?
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16
6 Why might shell corporations have value?
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17
1 What is the capitalization rate and how does it relate to the discount rate?
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18
Discuss the pros and cons of a reverse merger versus an IPO.
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19
3 What is the marketability discount and what are common ways of estimating this discount?
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20
13 An investor is interested in making a minority equity investment in a small privately held firm. Because of the nature of the business, she concludes that it would be difficult to sell her interest in the business quickly. Therefore, she believes that the discount for the lack of marketability to be 25%. She also estimates that if she were to acquire a controlling interest in the business, the control premium would be 15%. Based on this information, what should be the discount rate for making a minority investment in this firm? What should she pay for 20% of the business if she believes the value of the entire business to be $1 million.
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21
privately held firms, firm specific risk may include lack of product, industry, and geographic
diversification; limited management depth, volatile stock markets, and unionized workforces.
diversification; limited management depth, volatile stock markets, and unionized workforces.
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22
public and private firms always attempt to maximize earnings growth.
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23
increase in the target firm's reserves for doubtful accounts increases taxable income, while a
decrease reduces the firm's taxable income.
decrease reduces the firm's taxable income.
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24
Private businesses may need to be valued to settle shareholder disputes, court cases, divorce, or the payment of gift or estate taxes.
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25
Managers and owners in public companies are likely to have the same emotional attachment to their
businesses as those in private firms.
businesses as those in private firms.
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26
The availability and reliability of data for public companies tends to be much greater than for small private firms.
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27
The risk associated with an illiquid market for a specific stock is referred to as the liquidity or marketability risk.
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28
It is easier to obtain the fair market value of private companies than for public companies because of the
absence of volatile stock markets.
absence of volatile stock markets.
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29
Asset valuation includes specific business risks but ignores any adjustment for liquidity risk.
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30
Revenue may be inflated by booking as revenue products shipped to resellers without adequately
adjusting for probable returns.
adjusting for probable returns.
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31
Empirical evidence suggests that discounts have declined in recent years.
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32
Private firms must file quarterly earnings reports with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
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33
purpose of adjusting the target's income statement is to provide an accurate estimate of the
current year's reported operating income or operating cash flow.
current year's reported operating income or operating cash flow.
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34
Private firms are likely to understate revenue and understate costs in order to minimize their tax liabilities.
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35
Employee benefit levels in private firms are almost always mandated by state or federal law and
therefore cannot be changed.
therefore cannot be changed.
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36
Because of data limitations, valuation of private firms often requires more subjective adjustments than for
public firms.
public firms.
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37
Financial information for both public and private firms is equally reliable because their statements are audited by outside accounting firms to ensure that are developed in a manner consistent with GAAP.
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38
a buyer expects that the target firm's revenue has been overstated, the buyer can reconstruct revenue by examining usage levels of the key inputs required to produce the product or service.
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39
Shell corporations may have significant value to acquiring firms.
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40
Methodologies employed to value private firms are substantially different from those employed to value
public firms.
public firms.
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41
Family owned businesses account for about 89% of all businesses in the U.S.
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42
All family owned businesses are small.
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43
Before selling a business, an owner may increase advertising expenses in order to inflate profits.
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44
Restricted stock is often issued to employees of privately held firms as a significant portion of their total
compensation. Such stock is similar to other types of common stock except that its sale on the open market is prohibited for a period of time.
compensation. Such stock is similar to other types of common stock except that its sale on the open market is prohibited for a period of time.
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45
Very few closely held businesses are family owned.
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46
The market model of corporate governance is readily applicable to privately held, family owned firms.
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47
The primary purpose of the buyer adjusting the seller earnings is to provide an accurate estimate of the
current year's operating income or cash flow in the base year.
current year's operating income or cash flow in the base year.
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48
The M&A market for employer firms tends to be concentrated among smaller firms, as firms in the United States with 99 or fewer employees account for 98% of all firms with employees.
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49
In many family owned firms, family influence is exercised by family members holding senior management positions, seats on the board of directors, and through holding super-voting stock (i.e., stock with multiple voting rights).
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50
Valuation of privately held businesses may involve substantial adjustment of the discount or capitalization
rate.
rate.
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51
Membership or subscription businesses, such as health clubs and magazine publishers, may inflate revenue by booking the full value of muliyear contracts in the first year of the contract.
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52
A private corporation is a firm whose securities are not registered with state or federal authorities.
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53
The term capitalization refers to the conversion of a future income stream into a present value, and it is a
term often used by business appraisers when future income or cash flows are not expected to grow or to grow at a constant rate.
term often used by business appraisers when future income or cash flows are not expected to grow or to grow at a constant rate.
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54
Succession issues tend to be easier for small family owned firms than for large publicly traded firms.
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55
Firms that are family owned but not managed by family members are often well managed, as family shareholders with large equity stakes carefully monitor those charged with managing the business.
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56
Privately owned businesses are often referred to as "closely held" since they are usually characterized by a small group of shareholders controlling operating and managerial policies of the firm.
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57
If the buyer believes that the seller has overstated revenue in a specific accounting period, the buyer can reconstruct revenue by examining usage levels, in the same accounting period, of the key inputs required to produce the product or service.
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58
In adjusting base year income, an appraiser must be aware of the implications of various accounting
methods for value. During periods of inflation, businesses frequently use the last-in, first out method to
value inventories. This approach results a reduction in the cost of sales and an increase in gross profits and taxable income.
methods for value. During periods of inflation, businesses frequently use the last-in, first out method to
value inventories. This approach results a reduction in the cost of sales and an increase in gross profits and taxable income.
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59
Intangible assets such as customer lists, intellectual property, licenses, distributorships agreements, leases,
regulatory approvals, and employment contracts may offer significant sources of value.
regulatory approvals, and employment contracts may offer significant sources of value.
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60
Fair value is by necessity more subjective than the concept of fair market value, because it represents the
dollar value of a business based upon an appraisal of the tangible and intangible assets of the business.
dollar value of a business based upon an appraisal of the tangible and intangible assets of the business.
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61
Private investment in public entities (PIPES) is a commonly used method of financing reverse mergers.
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62
It is generally easier to sell a minority interest than a majority interest in a business without loss of the value of the original investment.
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63
The fair value concept is applied when no strong market exists for a business or it is not possible to identify the value of substantially similar firms.
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64
A control premium is the additional premium a buyer is willing to pay for the right to direct the activities of a firm.
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65
A sudden improvement in operating profits in the year in which the business is being offered for sale may suggest that both revenue and expenses had been overstated during the historical period.
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66
If the cash flows of the firm are not expected to grow or are expected to grow at a constant rate indefinitely, the discount rate used by practitioners often is referred to as the capitalization rate.
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67
Shell corporations may be attractive for investors interested in capitalizing on the intangible value associated with the existing corporate shell. This could include name recognition; licenses, patents, and other forms of intellectual properties; and underutilized assets such as warehouse space and fully depreciated equipment with some economic life remaining.
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68
Private companies are generally not subject to the same level of rigorous controls and reporting systems as are public companies.
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69
Small firms may lack product, industry, and geographic diversification, which add to their specific business risk.
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70
Because of the need to satisfy both the demands of stockholders and regulatory agencies, public companies need to balance the desire to minimize taxes with the goal of achieving quarterly earnings levels consistent with investor expectations. Failure to do so frequently results in an immediate loss in the firm's market value.
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71
A family owned firm's board faces the sometimes daunting challenge of achieving the proper balance between monitoring and collaboration to minimize the emotionality and overlapping roles that often characterize such firms.
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72
Shell corporations rarely have any value.
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73
The control model of corporate governance may be more applicable where ownership tends to be highly diverse and the right to control the business is separate from ownership.
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74
It is rare that the owner or a family member is either an investor in or an owner of a vendor supplying products or services to the family owned firm.
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75
Owners of private businesses attempting to minimize taxes may overstate their contribution to the firm by giving themselves or family members unusually low salaries, bonuses, and benefits.
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76
In many countries, family owned firms have been successful because of their shared interests and because investors place a higher value on short-term performance than on the long-term health of the business.
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77
An investor in a small company generally has little difficulty in selling their shares because of the high demand for small businesses.
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78
EBITDA has become an increasingly popular measure of value for privately held firms in recent years.
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79
If the discount rate is assumed to be 8% and the current cash flow is $1.5 million and is expected to remain at that level in perpetuity, the implied valuation is $18.75 million.
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80
Despite the lack of public exchanges for privately held firms, Wall Street analysts have ample incentive to analyze such firms in search of emerging companies.
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