Deck 4: Basic Probability

ملء الشاشة (f)
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سؤال
Simple probability is also called

A)marginal probability.
B)joint probability.
C)conditional probability.
D)Bayes' theorem.
استخدم زر المسافة أو
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لقلب البطاقة.
سؤال
If two events are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that both occur at the same time?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If event A and event B cannot occur at the same time, then events A and B are said to be

A)mutually exclusive.
B)independent.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
سؤال
If two events are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
When using the general multiplication rule, P (A and B) is equal to

A)P(A|B)P(B).
B)P(A)P(B).
C)P(B)/P(A).
D)P(A)/P(B).
سؤال
Selection of raffle tickets from a large bowl is an example of

A)simple probability.
B)sampling without replacement.
C)subjective probability.
D)None of the above.
سؤال
If the outcome of event A is not affected by event B, then events A and B are said to be

A)mutually exclusive.
B)independent.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
سؤال
If two events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
All the events in the sample space that are not part of the specified event are called

A)simple events.
B)joint events.
C)the sample space.
D)the complement of the event.
سؤال
A business venture can result in the following outcomes (with their corresponding chance of occurring in parentheses): Highly Successful (10%), Successful (25%), Break Even (25%), Disappointing (20%), and Highly Disappointing (?).If these are the only outcomes possible for the business venture, what is the chance that the business venture will be considered Highly Disappointing?

A)10%
B)15%
C)20%
D)25%
سؤال
If two events are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If two equally likely events A and B are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that event Aoccurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that event A occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If two equally likely events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that event A occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If two events are independent, what is the probability that they both occur?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If two events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that both occur?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
The collection of all possible events is called

A)a simple probability.
B)a sample space.
C)a joint probability.
D)the null set.
سؤال
If two equally likely events A and B are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that eventA occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If two events are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that both occur at the same time?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
سؤال
If either event A or event B must occur, then events A and B are said to be

A)mutually exclusive.
B)independent.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
سؤال
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The events increase in house sales and no increase in house sales in the next6 months are

A)independent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)(b)and (c)
سؤال
The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background(college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married).Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates.The probability that an employee of the company is married and has a college degree is:

A)0.0667
B)0.567
C)0.667
D)0.833
سؤال
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that neither house sales nor interest rates will increase during the next 6 months is:

A)0.10
B)0.195
C)0.89
D)0.90
سؤال
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that the residents of a household do not own 2 cars and have an income over $50,000 a year is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.22
D)0.48
سؤال
A survey of banks revealed the following distribution for the interest rate being charged on a home loan (based on a 30-year mortgage with a 10% down payment) on a certain date in the past.  Interest Rate 3.20% to 3.29%3.30% to 3.40% to 3.39%3.50% to 3.59%3.60% and  above  Probability 0.120.230.240.350.06\begin{array} { c | c | c | c | c | c } \text { Interest Rate } & \begin{array} { c } 3.20 \% \\\text { to } \\3.29 \%\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.30 \% \\\text { to }\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.40 \% \\\text { to } \\3.39 \%\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.50 \% \\\text { to } \\3.59 \%\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.60 \% \\\text { and } \\\text { above }\end{array} \\\hline \hline \text { Probability } & 0.12 & 0.23 & 0.24 & 0.35 & 0.06\end{array} If a bank is selected at random from this distribution, what is the chance that the interest rate charged on a home loan will exceed 3.49%?

A)0.06
B)0.41
C)0.59
D)1.00
سؤال
A company has 2 machines that produce widgets.An older machine produces 23% defective widgets, while the new machine produces only 8% defective widgets.In addition, the new machine produces 3 times as many widgets as the older machine does.What is the probability that a randomly chosen widget produced by the company is defective?

A)0.078
B)0.1175
C)0.156
D)0.310
سؤال
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that both house sales and interest rates will increase during the next 6 months is:

A)0.10
B)0.185
C)0.705
D)0.90
سؤال
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that house sales will increase but interest rates will not during the next 6 months is:

A)0.065
B)0.15
C)0.51
D)0.89
سؤال
A company has 2 machines that produce widgets.An older machine produces 23% defective widgets, while the new machine produces only 8% defective widgets.In addition, the new machine produces 3 times as many widgets as the older machine does.Given that a widget was produced by the new machine, what is the probability it is not defective?

A)0.06
B)0.50
C)0.92
D)0.94
سؤال
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that the residents do not own 2 cars if annual household income is not over $50,000 is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.45
D)0.70
سؤال
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that the residents of a household own 2 cars and have an income over $50,000 a year is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.22
D)0.48
سؤال
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that neither the cost is kept within budget nor the campaign will increase sales is:

A)0.12
B)0.32
C)0.68
D)0.88
سؤال
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that annual household income is over $50,000 if the residents of a household own 2 cars is:

A)0.42
B)0.48
C)0.50
D)0.69
سؤال
The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background(college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married).Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates.The probability that an employee of the company is single or has a college degree is:

A)0.10
B)0.25
C)0.667
D)0.733
سؤال
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that the cost is not kept within budget or the campaign will not increase sales is:

A)0.12
B)0.32
C)0.68
D)0.88
سؤال
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that the cost is kept within budget or the campaign will increase sales is:

A)0.20
B)0.32
C)0.68
D)0.88
سؤال
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that annual household income is over $50,000 if the residents of a household do not own 2 cars is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.40
D)0.70
سؤال
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that the cost is kept within budget and the campaign will increase sales is:

A)0.20
B)0.32
C)0.40
D)0.88
سؤال
The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background(college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married).Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates.The probability that an employee of the company does not have a college degree is:

A)0.10
B)0.33
C)0.67
D)0.75
سؤال
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The events increase in house sales and increase in interest rates in the next 6 months are

A)independent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
سؤال
The collection of all the possible events is called a sample space.
سؤال
When A and B are mutually exclusive, P (A or B) can be found by adding P(A) andP(B).
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given alcohol was involved, what proportion of accidents involved a single vehicle?

A) 50 / 75 or 66.67%
B) 50 / 170 or 29.41%.
C) 120 / 170 or 70.59%
D) 120 / 400 or 30%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that multiple vehicles were involved, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol?

A) 120 / 170 or 70.59%
B) 120 / 230 or 52.17%
C) 120 / 325 or 36.92%
D) 120 / 400 or 30%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol or a single vehicle?

A) 25 / 400 or 6.25%
B) 50 / 400 or 12.5%
C) 195 / 400 or 48.75%
D) 245 / 400 or 61.25%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, the events "Did Well on Midterm" and "Studying for Exam" are

A)not dependent.
B)not mutually exclusive.
C)collective exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, what is the probability that a randomly selected student did well on the midterm or went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm?

A) 30 / 200 or 15%
B) (80+30) / 200 or (30+80) / 200 or 55%
C) (30+70) / 200 or (70+30) / 200 or 50%
D) (80+30+70) / 200 or (110+100-30) / 200 or 90%
سؤال
If either A or B must occur they are called mutually exclusive.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that alcohol was not involved, what proportion of the accidents were single vehicle?

A) 50 / 75 or 66.67%
B) 25 / 230 or 10.87%
C) 50 / 170 or 29.41%
D) 25 / 75 or 33.33%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, what is the probability that a randomly selected student who went bar hopping did well on the midterm?

A) 30 / 100 or 30%
B) 30 / 110 or 27.27%
C) 30 / 200 or 15%
D) (100 / 200)^{*}(110 / 200) or 27.50%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, the events "Did Well on Midterm" and "Studying for Exam" are

A)dependent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collective exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, what proportion of accidents involved more than one vehicle?

A)50/400 or 12.5%
B)75/400 or 18.75%
C)275/400 or 68.75%
D)325/400 or 81.25%
سؤال
A company has 2 machines that produce widgets.An older machine produces 23% defective widgets, while the new machine produces only 8% defective widgets.In addition, the new machine produces 3 times as many widgets as the older machine does.Given a randomly chosen widget was tested and found to be defective, what is the probability it was produced by the new machine?

A)0.08
B)0.15
C)0.489
D)0.511
سؤال
If A and B cannot occur at the same time they are called mutually exclusive.
سؤال
If either A or B must occur they are called collectively exhaustive.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol and a single vehicle?

A) 25 / 400 or 6.25%
B) 50 / 400 or 12.5%
C) 195 / 400 or 48.75%
D) 245 / 400 or 61.25%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that alcohol was not involved, what proportion of the accidents were multiple vehicle?

A) 50 / 170 or 29.41%
B) 120 / 170 or 70.59%
C) 205 / 230 or 89.13%
D) 25 / 230 or 10.87%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that 3 vehicles were involved, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol?

A) 20 / 30 or 66.67%
B) 20 / 50 or 40%
C) 20 / 170 or 11.77%
D) 20 / 400 or 5%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, what is the probability that a randomly selected student did well on the midterm and went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm?

A) 30 / 200 or 15%
B) (80+30) / 200 or 55%
C) (30+70) / 200 or 50%
D) (80+30+70) / 200 or 90%
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, the events "Did Well on Midterm" and "Did Poorly on Midterm" are

A)dependent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collective exhaustive.
D)All the above.
سؤال
If P (A and B) = 1, then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
سؤال
If P (A and B) = 1, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
سؤال
If P(A and B)=0\mathrm { P } ( A \text { and } B ) = 0 , then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is a child or prefers hamburger is .
سؤال
 If P(A)=0.4 and P(B)=0.6\text { If } \mathrm { P } ( A ) = 0.4 \text { and } \mathrm { P } ( B ) = 0.6 , then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
سؤال
Suppose A and B are mutually exclusive events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A orB) = .
سؤال
If P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.6, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is an adult is.
سؤال
If P (A or B) = 1.0, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is an adult and prefers chicken is .
سؤال
Suppose A and B are independent events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A and B) =.
سؤال
Suppose A and B are events where P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and P (A and B) = 0.1. Suppose A and B are events where P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and P (A and B) = 0.1.  <div style=padding-top: 35px>
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is a child and prefers chicken is .
سؤال
If P(A and B)=0\mathrm { P } ( A \text { and } B ) = 0 , then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
سؤال
Suppose A and B are independent events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A or B) =.
سؤال
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is an adult, or a child is .
سؤال
Suppose A and B are mutually exclusive events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A andB) = .
سؤال
Suppose A and B are events where Suppose A and B are events where   .<div style=padding-top: 35px> .
سؤال
Suppose A and B are events where P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and P (A and B) = 0.1.Then P (A or B) = .
سؤال
If P (A or B) = 1.0, then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
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Deck 4: Basic Probability
1
Simple probability is also called

A)marginal probability.
B)joint probability.
C)conditional probability.
D)Bayes' theorem.
marginal probability.
2
If two events are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that both occur at the same time?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
0.
3
If event A and event B cannot occur at the same time, then events A and B are said to be

A)mutually exclusive.
B)independent.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
mutually exclusive.
4
If two events are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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5
When using the general multiplication rule, P (A and B) is equal to

A)P(A|B)P(B).
B)P(A)P(B).
C)P(B)/P(A).
D)P(A)/P(B).
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6
Selection of raffle tickets from a large bowl is an example of

A)simple probability.
B)sampling without replacement.
C)subjective probability.
D)None of the above.
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7
If the outcome of event A is not affected by event B, then events A and B are said to be

A)mutually exclusive.
B)independent.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
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8
If two events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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9
All the events in the sample space that are not part of the specified event are called

A)simple events.
B)joint events.
C)the sample space.
D)the complement of the event.
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10
A business venture can result in the following outcomes (with their corresponding chance of occurring in parentheses): Highly Successful (10%), Successful (25%), Break Even (25%), Disappointing (20%), and Highly Disappointing (?).If these are the only outcomes possible for the business venture, what is the chance that the business venture will be considered Highly Disappointing?

A)10%
B)15%
C)20%
D)25%
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11
If two events are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that one or the other occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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12
If two equally likely events A and B are mutually exclusive, what is the probability that event Aoccurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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13
If events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that event A occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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14
If two equally likely events A and B are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that event A occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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15
If two events are independent, what is the probability that they both occur?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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16
If two events are mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that both occur?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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17
The collection of all possible events is called

A)a simple probability.
B)a sample space.
C)a joint probability.
D)the null set.
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18
If two equally likely events A and B are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that eventA occurs?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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19
If two events are collectively exhaustive, what is the probability that both occur at the same time?

A)0.
B)0.50.
C)1.00.
D)Cannot be determined from the information given.
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20
If either event A or event B must occur, then events A and B are said to be

A)mutually exclusive.
B)independent.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
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21
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The events increase in house sales and no increase in house sales in the next6 months are

A)independent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)(b)and (c)
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22
The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background(college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married).Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates.The probability that an employee of the company is married and has a college degree is:

A)0.0667
B)0.567
C)0.667
D)0.833
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23
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that neither house sales nor interest rates will increase during the next 6 months is:

A)0.10
B)0.195
C)0.89
D)0.90
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24
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that the residents of a household do not own 2 cars and have an income over $50,000 a year is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.22
D)0.48
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25
A survey of banks revealed the following distribution for the interest rate being charged on a home loan (based on a 30-year mortgage with a 10% down payment) on a certain date in the past.  Interest Rate 3.20% to 3.29%3.30% to 3.40% to 3.39%3.50% to 3.59%3.60% and  above  Probability 0.120.230.240.350.06\begin{array} { c | c | c | c | c | c } \text { Interest Rate } & \begin{array} { c } 3.20 \% \\\text { to } \\3.29 \%\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.30 \% \\\text { to }\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.40 \% \\\text { to } \\3.39 \%\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.50 \% \\\text { to } \\3.59 \%\end{array} & \begin{array} { c } 3.60 \% \\\text { and } \\\text { above }\end{array} \\\hline \hline \text { Probability } & 0.12 & 0.23 & 0.24 & 0.35 & 0.06\end{array} If a bank is selected at random from this distribution, what is the chance that the interest rate charged on a home loan will exceed 3.49%?

A)0.06
B)0.41
C)0.59
D)1.00
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26
A company has 2 machines that produce widgets.An older machine produces 23% defective widgets, while the new machine produces only 8% defective widgets.In addition, the new machine produces 3 times as many widgets as the older machine does.What is the probability that a randomly chosen widget produced by the company is defective?

A)0.078
B)0.1175
C)0.156
D)0.310
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27
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that both house sales and interest rates will increase during the next 6 months is:

A)0.10
B)0.185
C)0.705
D)0.90
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28
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The probability that house sales will increase but interest rates will not during the next 6 months is:

A)0.065
B)0.15
C)0.51
D)0.89
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29
A company has 2 machines that produce widgets.An older machine produces 23% defective widgets, while the new machine produces only 8% defective widgets.In addition, the new machine produces 3 times as many widgets as the older machine does.Given that a widget was produced by the new machine, what is the probability it is not defective?

A)0.06
B)0.50
C)0.92
D)0.94
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30
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that the residents do not own 2 cars if annual household income is not over $50,000 is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.45
D)0.70
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31
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that the residents of a household own 2 cars and have an income over $50,000 a year is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.22
D)0.48
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32
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that neither the cost is kept within budget nor the campaign will increase sales is:

A)0.12
B)0.32
C)0.68
D)0.88
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33
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that annual household income is over $50,000 if the residents of a household own 2 cars is:

A)0.42
B)0.48
C)0.50
D)0.69
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34
The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background(college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married).Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates.The probability that an employee of the company is single or has a college degree is:

A)0.10
B)0.25
C)0.667
D)0.733
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35
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that the cost is not kept within budget or the campaign will not increase sales is:

A)0.12
B)0.32
C)0.68
D)0.88
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36
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that the cost is kept within budget or the campaign will increase sales is:

A)0.20
B)0.32
C)0.68
D)0.88
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37
According to a survey of American households, the probability that the residents own 2 cars if annual household income is over $50,000 is 80%.Of the households surveyed, 60% had incomes over $50,000 and 70% had 2 cars.The probability that annual household income is over $50,000 if the residents of a household do not own 2 cars is:

A)0.12
B)0.18
C)0.40
D)0.70
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38
The probability that a new advertising campaign will increase sales is assessed as being 0.80.The probability that the cost of developing the new ad campaign can be kept within the originalbudget allocation is 0.40.If the two events are independent, the probability that the cost is kept within budget and the campaign will increase sales is:

A)0.20
B)0.32
C)0.40
D)0.88
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39
The employees of a company were surveyed on questions regarding their educational background(college degree or no college degree) and marital status (single or married).Of the 600 employees, 400 had college degrees, 100 were single, and 60 were single college graduates.The probability that an employee of the company does not have a college degree is:

A)0.10
B)0.33
C)0.67
D)0.75
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40
The probability that house sales will increase in the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.25.The probability that the interest rates on housing loans will go up in the same period is estimated to be0.74.The probability that house sales or interest rates will go up during the next 6 months is estimated to be 0.89.The events increase in house sales and increase in interest rates in the next 6 months are

A)independent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collectively exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
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41
The collection of all the possible events is called a sample space.
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42
When A and B are mutually exclusive, P (A or B) can be found by adding P(A) andP(B).
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43
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given alcohol was involved, what proportion of accidents involved a single vehicle?

A) 50 / 75 or 66.67%
B) 50 / 170 or 29.41%.
C) 120 / 170 or 70.59%
D) 120 / 400 or 30%
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44
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that multiple vehicles were involved, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol?

A) 120 / 170 or 70.59%
B) 120 / 230 or 52.17%
C) 120 / 325 or 36.92%
D) 120 / 400 or 30%
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45
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol or a single vehicle?

A) 25 / 400 or 6.25%
B) 50 / 400 or 12.5%
C) 195 / 400 or 48.75%
D) 245 / 400 or 61.25%
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46
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, the events "Did Well on Midterm" and "Studying for Exam" are

A)not dependent.
B)not mutually exclusive.
C)collective exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
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47
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, what is the probability that a randomly selected student did well on the midterm or went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm?

A) 30 / 200 or 15%
B) (80+30) / 200 or (30+80) / 200 or 55%
C) (30+70) / 200 or (70+30) / 200 or 50%
D) (80+30+70) / 200 or (110+100-30) / 200 or 90%
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48
If either A or B must occur they are called mutually exclusive.
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49
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that alcohol was not involved, what proportion of the accidents were single vehicle?

A) 50 / 75 or 66.67%
B) 25 / 230 or 10.87%
C) 50 / 170 or 29.41%
D) 25 / 75 or 33.33%
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50
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, what is the probability that a randomly selected student who went bar hopping did well on the midterm?

A) 30 / 100 or 30%
B) 30 / 110 or 27.27%
C) 30 / 200 or 15%
D) (100 / 200)^{*}(110 / 200) or 27.50%
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51
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, the events "Did Well on Midterm" and "Studying for Exam" are

A)dependent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collective exhaustive.
D)None of the above.
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52
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, what proportion of accidents involved more than one vehicle?

A)50/400 or 12.5%
B)75/400 or 18.75%
C)275/400 or 68.75%
D)325/400 or 81.25%
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53
A company has 2 machines that produce widgets.An older machine produces 23% defective widgets, while the new machine produces only 8% defective widgets.In addition, the new machine produces 3 times as many widgets as the older machine does.Given a randomly chosen widget was tested and found to be defective, what is the probability it was produced by the new machine?

A)0.08
B)0.15
C)0.489
D)0.511
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54
If A and B cannot occur at the same time they are called mutually exclusive.
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55
If either A or B must occur they are called collectively exhaustive.
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56
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol and a single vehicle?

A) 25 / 400 or 6.25%
B) 50 / 400 or 12.5%
C) 195 / 400 or 48.75%
D) 245 / 400 or 61.25%
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57
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that alcohol was not involved, what proportion of the accidents were multiple vehicle?

A) 50 / 170 or 29.41%
B) 120 / 170 or 70.59%
C) 205 / 230 or 89.13%
D) 25 / 230 or 10.87%
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58
SCENARIO 4-1
Mothers Against Drunk Driving is a very visible group whose focus is to educate the public about the harm caused by drunk drivers.A study was recently done that emphasized the problem we all face with drinking and driving.Four hundred accidents that occurred on a Saturday night were analyzed.Two items noted were the number of vehicles involved and whether alcohol played a role in the accident.The numbers are shown below:  Number of Vehicles  Did alcohol play a role? 123 Totals  Yes 5010020170 No 2517530230 Totals 7527550400\begin{array} { c | c c c | c } & { \text { Number of Vehicles } } \\\text { Did alcohol play a role? } & \mathbf { 1 } & \mathbf { 2 } & \mathbf { 3 } & \text { Totals } \\\hline \text { Yes } & 50 & 100 & 20 & 170 \\\text { No } & 25 & 175 & 30 & 230 \\\hline \text { Totals } & 75 & 275 & 50 & 400\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-1, given that 3 vehicles were involved, what proportion of accidents involved alcohol?

A) 20 / 30 or 66.67%
B) 20 / 50 or 40%
C) 20 / 170 or 11.77%
D) 20 / 400 or 5%
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59
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, what is the probability that a randomly selected student did well on the midterm and went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm?

A) 30 / 200 or 15%
B) (80+30) / 200 or 55%
C) (30+70) / 200 or 50%
D) (80+30+70) / 200 or 90%
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60
SCENARIO 4-2
An alcohol awareness task force at a Big-Ten university sampled 200 students after the midterm to ask them whether they went bar hopping the weekend before the midterm or spent the weekend studying, and whether they did well or poorly on the midterm.The following result was obtained.  Did Well on Midterm  Did Poorly on Midterm  Studying for Exam 8020 Went Bar Hopping 3070\begin{array} { | l | l | l | } \hline & \text { Did Well on Midterm } & \text { Did Poorly on Midterm } \\\hline \text { Studying for Exam } & 80 & 20 \\\hline \text { Went Bar Hopping } & 30 & 70 \\\hline\end{array}

-Referring to Scenario 4-2, the events "Did Well on Midterm" and "Did Poorly on Midterm" are

A)dependent.
B)mutually exclusive.
C)collective exhaustive.
D)All the above.
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61
If P (A and B) = 1, then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
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62
If P (A and B) = 1, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
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63
If P(A and B)=0\mathrm { P } ( A \text { and } B ) = 0 , then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
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64
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is a child or prefers hamburger is .
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65
 If P(A)=0.4 and P(B)=0.6\text { If } \mathrm { P } ( A ) = 0.4 \text { and } \mathrm { P } ( B ) = 0.6 , then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
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66
Suppose A and B are mutually exclusive events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A orB) = .
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67
If P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.6, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
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68
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is an adult is.
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69
If P (A or B) = 1.0, then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
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70
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is an adult and prefers chicken is .
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71
Suppose A and B are independent events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A and B) =.
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72
Suppose A and B are events where P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and P (A and B) = 0.1. Suppose A and B are events where P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and P (A and B) = 0.1.
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73
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is a child and prefers chicken is .
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74
If P(A and B)=0\mathrm { P } ( A \text { and } B ) = 0 , then A and B must be mutually exclusive.
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75
Suppose A and B are independent events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A or B) =.
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76
SCENARIO 4-3
A survey is taken among customers of a fast-food restaurant to determine preference for hamburger or chicken.Of 200 respondents selected, 75 were children and 125 were adults.120 preferred hamburger and 80 preferred chicken.55 of the children preferred hamburger.
Referring to Scenario 4-3, the probability that a randomly selected individual is an adult, or a child is .
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77
Suppose A and B are mutually exclusive events where P(A) = 0.4 and P(B) = 0.5.Then P (A andB) = .
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78
Suppose A and B are events where Suppose A and B are events where   . .
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79
Suppose A and B are events where P(A) = 0.4, P(B) = 0.5, and P (A and B) = 0.1.Then P (A or B) = .
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80
If P (A or B) = 1.0, then A and B must be collectively exhaustive.
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