Deck 7: Estimation Procedures

ملء الشاشة (f)
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سؤال
Because there is always a chance that an EPSEM sample might not be representative,alpha cannot be

A)known.
B)1.00.
C)0.00.
D)less than .10.
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سؤال
The more efficient the estimate,the more the sampling distribution

A)is evenly spread from the mean to ±\pm 2 standard deviations.
B)becomes flatter.
C)clusters to the right of the mean.
D)is clustered around the mean.
سؤال
The sizes of four samples vary as follows:
Sample A,N = 100
Sample B,N = 76
Sample C,N = 1000
Sample D,N = 150
Which sample will produce the most efficient estimate?

A)Sample A
B)Sample B
C)Sample C
D)Sample D
سؤال
The goal of estimation procedures is to infer ____ from ____.

A)intervals,estimates
B)bias,efficiency
C)statistics,parameters
D)parameters,statistics
سؤال
The efficiency of any estimator can be improved by

A)increasing the sample size.
B)decreasing the sample size.
C)making the sample representative.
D)changing the sample.
سؤال
From a random sample of 300 state university students,you found that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 with a standard deviation of 5.A point estimate of the average study time for all state university students would be

A)5.
B)30.
C)300.
D)15 ±\pm 1 standard deviation.
سؤال
Public opinion polls and election projections are examples of

A)estimation procedures.
B)hypothesis testing.
C)non-statistical research methods.
D)blatant misuse of statistical procedures.
سؤال
We can estimate the probability that sample means and proportions lie within a given distance of the population value because these statistics are

A)unbiased.
B)efficient.
C)random.
D)biaseD.
سؤال
Based on an EPSEM sample of 300 state university students,we estimate that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 ±\pm 2.In this example,the population is

A)the 300 state university students.
B)all state university students.
C)unknown.
D)the same as the parameter.
سؤال
The probability that a sample mean is within ±\pm 1 Z of the population mean is about

A).34.
B).68.
C).95.
D).99.
سؤال
Two sample statistics are unbiased estimators.They are

A)means and proportions.
B)means and standard deviations.
C)medians and modes.
D)proportions and percentages.
سؤال
The larger the sample size (N),the

A)smaller the parameter.
B)greater the efficiency.
C)lower the bias.
D)larger the standard error of the mean.
سؤال
The probability that an interval estimate does not include the population value is called

A)the margin.
B)alpha.
C)an error.
D)the odds.
سؤال
Based on an EPSEM sample of 300 state university students,we estimate that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 ±\pm 2.In this example,the parameter is

A)300.
B)30.
C) ±\pm 2.
D)unknown.
سؤال
In estimation procedures,____ are estimated based on the value of ____.

A)statistics,parameters
B)parameters,statistics
C)values,frequencies
D)sample,populations
سؤال
An estimator is unbiased if the mean of its sampling distribution is equal to

A)the midpoint of the distribution.
B)the sample mean.
C)the population value.
D)the population median.
سؤال
In the United States,between 70% and 80% of the people who do the family grocery shopping are women.This is

A)not a finding which can be generalized.
B)a point estimate.
C)an interval estimate.
D)sexism at its most offensive.
سؤال
The efficiency of a sample estimator is essentially a matter of

A)accuracy.
B)validity.
C)centrality.
D)dispersion.
سؤال
In estimation procedures,the alpha level is

A)the same as the confidence level.
B)the parameter we are trying to estimate.
C)always greater than the standard error.
D)equal to the efficiency ratio minus the bias coefficient.
سؤال
In ____ of the cases,the mean of a sample selected by EPSEM will be more than ±\pm 3 Z's from the population mean.

A)less than 1%
B)more than 5%
C)more than 90%
D)more than 99%
سؤال
We have used an alpha of 0.01 to estimate the average hours of television viewing for residents in a retirement home.What is the chance that our interval estimate does not contain the true population mean?

A)99%
B)10%
C)1%
D)1/10 of 1%
سؤال
In constructing interval estimates based on sample proportions (Ps),the population proportion (Pu)must be estimated.It is most conservative to estimate Pu at

A)Ps.
B).50.
C).25.
D)1.00.
سؤال
To decrease the probability that a confidence interval will NOT include the population parameter,

A)lower the alpha level.
B)raise the alpha level.
C)increase the bias of the sample statistiC.
D)set efficiency to zero.
سؤال
In the formula for finding a confidence interval when the value of the population standard deviation is unknown,we change N to N - 1.The reason for this change is

A)to correct for the fact that s is biased.
B)the standard deviation of a sample is always greater than the standard deviation of the population.
C)the standard deviation of a sample is unbiased.
D)sample size is much too large.
سؤال
A confidence level of 99% is the same as an alpha level of

A)0.05.
B)0.10.
C)0.01.
D)0.001.
سؤال
An alpha level of 0.05 is the same as a confidence level of

A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
سؤال
When using sample means as estimators,we usually estimate the population standard deviation with

A)the sample standard deviation.
B)the sampling distribution standard deviation.
C)the population parameter.
D)the Z score.
سؤال
The average weight of a sample of women who attend aerobics classes at the YWCA is 130 pounds.We construct a confidence interval (using an alpha of 0.05)of ±\pm 3.45.The upper and lower limits of our estimate are

A)130.00 and 133.45.
B)126.55 and 130.45.
C)126.55 and 133.45.
D)unknown;these values will depend on the number of women who are truly serious about exercising.
سؤال
As our confidence in an interval estimate increases,the width of the interval

A)decreases.
B)increases.
C)remains the same.
D)increases or decreases depending on the alpha level.
سؤال
The greater the confidence level,the ____ width of the confidence interval

A)narrower
B)more representative
C)more efficient
D)wider
سؤال
A random sample of 500 reports an average yearly income of $42,000 with a standard deviation of $1000.An estimate of the parameter at the 95% level is about $175 wide.In this research situation,

A)the parameter is $42,000.
B)the sample is unrepresentative.
C)the alpha level is 0.05.
D)the sample mean is $175.
سؤال
A random sample of 200 includes 100 Protestants.The researcher estimates,at the 95% confidence level,that between 43% and 57% of the population is Protestant.In this research situation,

A)alpha is .10.
B)Pu is 95.
C)N is 100.
D)Ps is .50.
سؤال
The most commonly used confidence level is

A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
سؤال
The sample standard deviation is a biased estimator of the population standard deviation.When using sample means as estimators,we correct for bias in the formula for finding confidence intervals by

A)using N - 1 rather than N.
B)using N rather than N - 1.
C)using s rather than Z.
D)squaring the value of Z.
سؤال
A random sample of 500 reports an average yearly income of $42,000 with a standard deviation of $1000.An estimate of the parameter at the 95% level is about $175 wide.In this research situation,

A)we can be 95% confident that the population mean is 42,000 ±\pm 175.
B)the sample size is much too small to justify the use of estimation procedures.
C)the alpha level is 1000.
D)the sample mean is $175.
سؤال
In the formulas for constructing interval estimates based on sample proportions,the expression Pu (l - Pu)has a maximum value of

A).50.
B).25.
C)1.00.
D).75.
سؤال
A random sample of 200 includes 100 Protestants.The researcher estimates,at the 95% confidence level,that between 43% and 57% of the population is Protestant.In this research situation,

A)the parameter is 200.
B)Pu is .43 or .57.
C)N is 100.
D)alpha is 0.05.
سؤال
In estimation procedures,as the alpha level decreases,the corresponding Z score

A)moves closer to the mean of the sampling distribution.
B)moves away from the mean of the sampling distribution.
C)becomes negative.
D)becomes positive.
سؤال
In estimation procedures,the Z score that corresponds to an alpha of .05 is

A) ±\pm 1.96.
B) ±\pm 2.58.
C) ±\pm 3.78.
D) ±\pm 9.78.
سؤال
To increase the probability that a confidence interval will include the population parameter,

A)lower the alpha level.
B)raise the alpha level.
C)increase the bias of the sample statistiC.
D)set efficiency to zero.
سؤال
All other things being equal,larger sample will cost more to process

A)but will not necessarily have narrower confidence intervals.
B)and will always produce narrower confidence intervals.
C)and will always produce wider confidence intervals.
D)but will produce more precise intervals if the confidence level is low.
سؤال
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.The average number of children for the 945 respondents for which we have information was 1.98 with a standard deviation of 1.04.
سؤال
Wider confidence intervals

A)are sure to include the population value.
B)are less likely to include the population value.
C)are more likely to include the population value.
D)do not alter the chance of including the population value.
سؤال
Sample size and the width of confidence intervals

A)increase at the same rate.
B)increase at different rates: sample size increases faster than interval width.
C)increase at different rates: sample size increases more slowly than interval width.
D)have no relationship to each other.
سؤال
If a researcher changes from the 90% confidence level to the 95% level,the confidence interval will

A)widen.
B)decrease in width.
C)not be affected.
D)widen only if N is greater than 100.
سؤال
The width of an interval estimate can be controlled by

A)changing the confidence level.
B)changing the alpha level.
C)changing the sample size.
D)any of the above
سؤال
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.The average years of school completed for 734 respondents was 11.9 with a standard deviation of 0.5.
سؤال
To construct the narrowest possible confidence intervals,use ____.

A)small samples
B)large samples
C)the least efficient estimator
D)an unbiased statistic
سؤال
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.Of the 1220 respondents for whom we have information,178 said that they had been divorced at least once.
سؤال
Which sample size will produce the confidence interval with the smallest width?

A)100
B)200
C)500
D)1000
سؤال
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.Four hundred and thirty two of the 668 respondents questioned said that they favored capital punishment for people convicted of murder.Ten years ago,in response to the same question,378 out of 703 people were in favor of capital punishment.Has support for capital punishment risen over the ten year period?
سؤال
Polls tracking the popularity of President Bush show

A)dramatic increases in support following both the terrorist attacks of 9-11 and the invasion of Iraq.
B)a dramatic increase in support following 9-11 but no particular change after the invasion of Iraq.
C)a remarkable consistency in popularity that never exceeded 55% and never fell below 50%.
D)low levels of support that have often fallen below 25% approval.
سؤال
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.Of the 998 respondents questioned,246 identified themselves as Catholic.
سؤال
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.The average age of the 1225 respondents was 25.3 with a standard deviation of 1.9.
سؤال
Polls tracking the presidential election of 2004 showed that

A)Bush lead by a clear margin from start to finish.
B)Kerry lead by a clear margin until just a week before election day.
C)the race was "too close to call" during much of the campaign.
D)voter turnout would be extraordinarily high.
سؤال
As sample size increases,confidence interval width

A)increases.
B)decreases.
C)remains the same.
D)changes proportionally.
سؤال
In a two person race,if the Republican presidential candidate is projected to attract 44% ±\pm 3% of the vote,and the Democratic candidate is projected to attract 46% ±\pm 3% of the vote,then

A)the Republican is the probable winner.
B)the Democrat is the probable winner.
C)neither candidate will win a majority of votes in the electoral college.
D)the race is "too close to call."
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Deck 7: Estimation Procedures
1
Because there is always a chance that an EPSEM sample might not be representative,alpha cannot be

A)known.
B)1.00.
C)0.00.
D)less than .10.
0.00.
2
The more efficient the estimate,the more the sampling distribution

A)is evenly spread from the mean to ±\pm 2 standard deviations.
B)becomes flatter.
C)clusters to the right of the mean.
D)is clustered around the mean.
is clustered around the mean.
3
The sizes of four samples vary as follows:
Sample A,N = 100
Sample B,N = 76
Sample C,N = 1000
Sample D,N = 150
Which sample will produce the most efficient estimate?

A)Sample A
B)Sample B
C)Sample C
D)Sample D
Sample C
4
The goal of estimation procedures is to infer ____ from ____.

A)intervals,estimates
B)bias,efficiency
C)statistics,parameters
D)parameters,statistics
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5
The efficiency of any estimator can be improved by

A)increasing the sample size.
B)decreasing the sample size.
C)making the sample representative.
D)changing the sample.
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6
From a random sample of 300 state university students,you found that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 with a standard deviation of 5.A point estimate of the average study time for all state university students would be

A)5.
B)30.
C)300.
D)15 ±\pm 1 standard deviation.
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7
Public opinion polls and election projections are examples of

A)estimation procedures.
B)hypothesis testing.
C)non-statistical research methods.
D)blatant misuse of statistical procedures.
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8
We can estimate the probability that sample means and proportions lie within a given distance of the population value because these statistics are

A)unbiased.
B)efficient.
C)random.
D)biaseD.
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9
Based on an EPSEM sample of 300 state university students,we estimate that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 ±\pm 2.In this example,the population is

A)the 300 state university students.
B)all state university students.
C)unknown.
D)the same as the parameter.
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10
The probability that a sample mean is within ±\pm 1 Z of the population mean is about

A).34.
B).68.
C).95.
D).99.
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11
Two sample statistics are unbiased estimators.They are

A)means and proportions.
B)means and standard deviations.
C)medians and modes.
D)proportions and percentages.
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12
The larger the sample size (N),the

A)smaller the parameter.
B)greater the efficiency.
C)lower the bias.
D)larger the standard error of the mean.
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13
The probability that an interval estimate does not include the population value is called

A)the margin.
B)alpha.
C)an error.
D)the odds.
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14
Based on an EPSEM sample of 300 state university students,we estimate that the average number of hours of study time each week is 30 ±\pm 2.In this example,the parameter is

A)300.
B)30.
C) ±\pm 2.
D)unknown.
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15
In estimation procedures,____ are estimated based on the value of ____.

A)statistics,parameters
B)parameters,statistics
C)values,frequencies
D)sample,populations
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16
An estimator is unbiased if the mean of its sampling distribution is equal to

A)the midpoint of the distribution.
B)the sample mean.
C)the population value.
D)the population median.
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17
In the United States,between 70% and 80% of the people who do the family grocery shopping are women.This is

A)not a finding which can be generalized.
B)a point estimate.
C)an interval estimate.
D)sexism at its most offensive.
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18
The efficiency of a sample estimator is essentially a matter of

A)accuracy.
B)validity.
C)centrality.
D)dispersion.
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19
In estimation procedures,the alpha level is

A)the same as the confidence level.
B)the parameter we are trying to estimate.
C)always greater than the standard error.
D)equal to the efficiency ratio minus the bias coefficient.
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20
In ____ of the cases,the mean of a sample selected by EPSEM will be more than ±\pm 3 Z's from the population mean.

A)less than 1%
B)more than 5%
C)more than 90%
D)more than 99%
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21
We have used an alpha of 0.01 to estimate the average hours of television viewing for residents in a retirement home.What is the chance that our interval estimate does not contain the true population mean?

A)99%
B)10%
C)1%
D)1/10 of 1%
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22
In constructing interval estimates based on sample proportions (Ps),the population proportion (Pu)must be estimated.It is most conservative to estimate Pu at

A)Ps.
B).50.
C).25.
D)1.00.
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23
To decrease the probability that a confidence interval will NOT include the population parameter,

A)lower the alpha level.
B)raise the alpha level.
C)increase the bias of the sample statistiC.
D)set efficiency to zero.
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24
In the formula for finding a confidence interval when the value of the population standard deviation is unknown,we change N to N - 1.The reason for this change is

A)to correct for the fact that s is biased.
B)the standard deviation of a sample is always greater than the standard deviation of the population.
C)the standard deviation of a sample is unbiased.
D)sample size is much too large.
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25
A confidence level of 99% is the same as an alpha level of

A)0.05.
B)0.10.
C)0.01.
D)0.001.
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26
An alpha level of 0.05 is the same as a confidence level of

A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
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27
When using sample means as estimators,we usually estimate the population standard deviation with

A)the sample standard deviation.
B)the sampling distribution standard deviation.
C)the population parameter.
D)the Z score.
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28
The average weight of a sample of women who attend aerobics classes at the YWCA is 130 pounds.We construct a confidence interval (using an alpha of 0.05)of ±\pm 3.45.The upper and lower limits of our estimate are

A)130.00 and 133.45.
B)126.55 and 130.45.
C)126.55 and 133.45.
D)unknown;these values will depend on the number of women who are truly serious about exercising.
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29
As our confidence in an interval estimate increases,the width of the interval

A)decreases.
B)increases.
C)remains the same.
D)increases or decreases depending on the alpha level.
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30
The greater the confidence level,the ____ width of the confidence interval

A)narrower
B)more representative
C)more efficient
D)wider
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31
A random sample of 500 reports an average yearly income of $42,000 with a standard deviation of $1000.An estimate of the parameter at the 95% level is about $175 wide.In this research situation,

A)the parameter is $42,000.
B)the sample is unrepresentative.
C)the alpha level is 0.05.
D)the sample mean is $175.
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32
A random sample of 200 includes 100 Protestants.The researcher estimates,at the 95% confidence level,that between 43% and 57% of the population is Protestant.In this research situation,

A)alpha is .10.
B)Pu is 95.
C)N is 100.
D)Ps is .50.
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33
The most commonly used confidence level is

A)99.5%.
B)95%.
C)90.5%.
D)90%.
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34
The sample standard deviation is a biased estimator of the population standard deviation.When using sample means as estimators,we correct for bias in the formula for finding confidence intervals by

A)using N - 1 rather than N.
B)using N rather than N - 1.
C)using s rather than Z.
D)squaring the value of Z.
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35
A random sample of 500 reports an average yearly income of $42,000 with a standard deviation of $1000.An estimate of the parameter at the 95% level is about $175 wide.In this research situation,

A)we can be 95% confident that the population mean is 42,000 ±\pm 175.
B)the sample size is much too small to justify the use of estimation procedures.
C)the alpha level is 1000.
D)the sample mean is $175.
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36
In the formulas for constructing interval estimates based on sample proportions,the expression Pu (l - Pu)has a maximum value of

A).50.
B).25.
C)1.00.
D).75.
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37
A random sample of 200 includes 100 Protestants.The researcher estimates,at the 95% confidence level,that between 43% and 57% of the population is Protestant.In this research situation,

A)the parameter is 200.
B)Pu is .43 or .57.
C)N is 100.
D)alpha is 0.05.
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38
In estimation procedures,as the alpha level decreases,the corresponding Z score

A)moves closer to the mean of the sampling distribution.
B)moves away from the mean of the sampling distribution.
C)becomes negative.
D)becomes positive.
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39
In estimation procedures,the Z score that corresponds to an alpha of .05 is

A) ±\pm 1.96.
B) ±\pm 2.58.
C) ±\pm 3.78.
D) ±\pm 9.78.
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40
To increase the probability that a confidence interval will include the population parameter,

A)lower the alpha level.
B)raise the alpha level.
C)increase the bias of the sample statistiC.
D)set efficiency to zero.
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41
All other things being equal,larger sample will cost more to process

A)but will not necessarily have narrower confidence intervals.
B)and will always produce narrower confidence intervals.
C)and will always produce wider confidence intervals.
D)but will produce more precise intervals if the confidence level is low.
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42
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.The average number of children for the 945 respondents for which we have information was 1.98 with a standard deviation of 1.04.
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43
Wider confidence intervals

A)are sure to include the population value.
B)are less likely to include the population value.
C)are more likely to include the population value.
D)do not alter the chance of including the population value.
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44
Sample size and the width of confidence intervals

A)increase at the same rate.
B)increase at different rates: sample size increases faster than interval width.
C)increase at different rates: sample size increases more slowly than interval width.
D)have no relationship to each other.
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45
If a researcher changes from the 90% confidence level to the 95% level,the confidence interval will

A)widen.
B)decrease in width.
C)not be affected.
D)widen only if N is greater than 100.
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46
The width of an interval estimate can be controlled by

A)changing the confidence level.
B)changing the alpha level.
C)changing the sample size.
D)any of the above
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47
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.The average years of school completed for 734 respondents was 11.9 with a standard deviation of 0.5.
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48
To construct the narrowest possible confidence intervals,use ____.

A)small samples
B)large samples
C)the least efficient estimator
D)an unbiased statistic
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49
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.Of the 1220 respondents for whom we have information,178 said that they had been divorced at least once.
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50
Which sample size will produce the confidence interval with the smallest width?

A)100
B)200
C)500
D)1000
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51
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.Four hundred and thirty two of the 668 respondents questioned said that they favored capital punishment for people convicted of murder.Ten years ago,in response to the same question,378 out of 703 people were in favor of capital punishment.Has support for capital punishment risen over the ten year period?
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52
Polls tracking the popularity of President Bush show

A)dramatic increases in support following both the terrorist attacks of 9-11 and the invasion of Iraq.
B)a dramatic increase in support following 9-11 but no particular change after the invasion of Iraq.
C)a remarkable consistency in popularity that never exceeded 55% and never fell below 50%.
D)low levels of support that have often fallen below 25% approval.
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53
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.Of the 998 respondents questioned,246 identified themselves as Catholic.
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54
Instruction: For each situation below,construct the 95% confidence interval estimate to the population.Assume that the results are based on a nationally representative sample.Express the estimate in a sentence.
Refer to the instruction.The average age of the 1225 respondents was 25.3 with a standard deviation of 1.9.
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55
Polls tracking the presidential election of 2004 showed that

A)Bush lead by a clear margin from start to finish.
B)Kerry lead by a clear margin until just a week before election day.
C)the race was "too close to call" during much of the campaign.
D)voter turnout would be extraordinarily high.
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56
As sample size increases,confidence interval width

A)increases.
B)decreases.
C)remains the same.
D)changes proportionally.
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57
In a two person race,if the Republican presidential candidate is projected to attract 44% ±\pm 3% of the vote,and the Democratic candidate is projected to attract 46% ±\pm 3% of the vote,then

A)the Republican is the probable winner.
B)the Democrat is the probable winner.
C)neither candidate will win a majority of votes in the electoral college.
D)the race is "too close to call."
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