Deck 9: A Basic View of Technical Analysis and Market Efficiency

Question 1

Mutual fund cash positions and trading by insiders are not generally reliable indicators of market health or activity.

Answer 1

False

Question 2

Technical analysis assumes that many chart patterns tend to repeat themselves.

Answer 2

True

Question 3

The Dow Theory puts emphasis on long run trends.

Answer 3

True

Question 4

The support level is the stock price that generates new demand,while the resistance level is the price at which investors begin to sell in order to take a profit.

Question 5

When short sellers are bearish,it is thought to be a bullish signal.

Question 6

Point and figure charts emphasize significant price changes and price reversals.

Question 7

A support level signals new demand.

Question 8

The Barron's Confidence Index is based on the premise that bond traders,being more sophisticated than stock traders,pick up trends more quickly.

Question 9

The ideas that stock prices tend to move in trends that persist for long periods and that these trends can be detected in charts are basic assumptions of fundamental analysis.

Question 10

Short selling by market specialists provides future demand potential to cover their short position.

Question 11

Odd-lot traders traditionally are assumed to be strong sellers right before the bottom of a bear market,but this is not always the case.

Question 12

Odd-lot traders have never outguessed professional traders.

Question 13

Barron's Confidence Index has only a mixed record of success.

Question 14

A high ratio of specialist short sales compared to exchange short sales is interpreted as bearish.

Question 15

Under normal circumstances,the Barron's confidence Index is between 100 and 200.

Question 16

A high short interest ratio is considered bullish.

Question 17

Investment advisory recommendations are part of the smart money rules.

Question 18

Chartists do not consider volume significant in reading market indicators.

Question 19

Divergence between advances and declines in a breadth of the market indicator and the Dow Jones Industrial Average may signal a reversing trend in the market.

Question 20

The short interest ratio is the total short sales position divided by average daily exchange volume.

Question 21

The Dow theory uses _________ to follow three major types of market movements.

A)Charting
B)Key indicators
C)Fundamental analysis
D)None of the above

Question 22

As the ratio of specialist short sales to total short sales increases,technicians consider the market to be

A)Bullish
B)Bearish
C)Neutral
D)In the second leg of a bull market

Question 23

Chartists carefully read point and figure charts to observe market patterns (where there is support,resistance,breakouts,congestion,etc.).

Question 24

The essence of the contrary opinion rule is that it is easier to figure out who is right than who is wrong.

Question 25

The essence of _______ is to determine whose judgment about the market is wrong.

A)Key indicators
B)Smart money rules
C)Contrary opinion rules
D)None of the above

Question 26

A breadth of the market indicator attempts to measure what a broad range of securities is doing as opposed to merely examining a market average.

Question 27

The breadth of the market indicator

A)Attempts to measure what a broad range of securities is doing as opposed to merely examining a market average
B)Can be used to analyze upturns in the market
C)Compares the advance-declines with the movement of a popular market average to determine if there is divergence between the two
D)All of the above

Question 28

A bar chart is used to demonstrate

A)Advances and declines of stock prices
B)High,low and closing stock price on a daily basis
C)Changes of two points or more
D)More than one of the above

Question 29

______________ analysis focuses on charts and graphs based on internal market data,while _____________ analysis emphasizes earnings reports,management capabilities and new product development.

A)Technical; fundamental
B)Fundamental; technical
C)Technical; external
D)Technical; semi-strong

Question 30

The Dow Theory maintains that there are three major fluctuations in the market: daily fluctuations,weekly fluctuations,and yearly fluctuations.

Question 31

All of the following are smart money rules except

A)Investment advisory recommendations
B)Short sales by specialists
C)Barron's Confidence Index
D)None of the above are exceptions

Question 32

Volume of short sales represents a contrary opinion rule because

A)Short sellers generally do not know what they are doing
B)Short sellers tend to overreact
C)Short sales generate potential demand for stocks
D)More than one of the above

Question 33

According to the Dow theory,daily fluctuations and secondary movements in the market are used to help identify

A)A key indicator
B)A primary trend
C)Shifts in demand and supply
D)More than one of the above

Question 34

The ____________ suggests watching the small investor,who is right most of the time but misses key market turns,and then doing the opposite.

A)Contrary opinion rule
B)Odd-lot theory
C)Greed index
D)None of the above

Question 35

High mutual fund cash positions would represent withdrawal from the market and thus a possible future market decline.

Question 36

While the Dow Jones Industrial Average may be weighted toward large firms,a(n)__________ indicator may be used to examine all stocks on an exchange.

A)Key
B)Contrary opinion
C)Breadth of the market
D)More than one of the above

Question 37

The problem in reading charts has always been:

A)With the errors that are frequently made in the graphing process
B)Understanding the past market movements
C)In analyzing the patterns in such a fashion that they truly predict stock market movements before they unfold
D)None of the above

Question 38

The Barron's Confidence Index is used to observe the trading pattern of investors in the stock market.

Question 39

A point and figure chart is used to demonstrate

A)Advances and declines of stock prices
B)High,low and closing price on a daily basis
C)Changes of two points or more
D)More than one of the above

Question 40

A low Barron's Confidence Index means that

A)Investors prefer stocks to bonds
B)The yield on bonds is greater than that on stock
C)Low quality bonds have returns much higher than high quality bonds
D)Low quality bonds have returns slightly higher than high quality bonds

Question 41

The higher the mutual fund cash position

A)The more likely the market is to go down
B)The more likely the market is to go up
C)The more likely the market is to stay relatively unchanged
D)The higher mutual fund redemptions will be in the future

Question 42

Smart Money Rules include:

A)Barron's Confidence Index
B)Short sales by individuals
C)Short sales by specialists
D)Both a and c

Question 43

Technical analysis is based on all of the following assumptions except

A)Market value is determined by the interaction of demand and supply
B)Stocks with strong earnings gains will outperform the market
C)The assumption that though there are minor fluctuations in the market,stock prices tend to move in trends that persist for long periods of time
D)Shifts in demand and supply can be detected sooner or later
E)Reversals of trends are caused by shifts in demand and supply.

Question 44

Contrary opinion rules or approaches to the market include the

A)Odd-lot theory
B)Short sales positions by the public
C)Mutual fund cash position
D)A and b

Question 45

A normal short sale ratio is between

A)That all securities are efficiently priced at any point in time.0.-5
B)That only common stocks are efficiently priced at any point in time.1.0-2.0
C)That only bonds are efficiently priced at any point in time.2.0-3.0
D)Over 3.0

Question 46

Smart money rules or approaches to the market include

A)Short sales by specialists
B)The put-call ratio
C)Investment Advisory recommendations
D)The odd-lot theory

Question 47

Under the Dow theory,all of the following represent trends in the market except

A)Daily fluctuations
B)Secondary movement
C)Primary trends
D)Linear trends