Deck 23: Decision Making and Risk

ملء الشاشة (f)
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سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Based on the expected value approach, the landowner should</strong> A) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates stay about the same. B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community. C) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go down. D) build townhouses/condominiums. E) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go up. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
Based on the expected value approach, the landowner should

A) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates stay about the same.
B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community.
C) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go down.
D) build townhouses/condominiums.
E) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go up.
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سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   If the landowner is risk averse he would choose the action with the lowest Coefficient of Variation (CV). Which of the following is true?</strong> A) The CV is lower for building townhouses and condominiums. B) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community. C) Even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach. D) The CV is higher for building townhouses and condominiums, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach. E) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
If the landowner is risk averse he would choose the action with the lowest Coefficient of Variation (CV). Which of the following is true?

A) The CV is lower for building townhouses and condominiums.
B) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community.
C) Even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach.
D) The CV is higher for building townhouses and condominiums, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach.
E) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. The expected value for building detached homes in a planned retirement community is</strong> A) $2.5 million. B) $3.625 million. C) $2.75 million. D) $875,000. E) $46.25 million. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. The expected value for building detached homes in a planned retirement community is

A) $2.5 million.
B) $3.625 million.
C) $2.75 million.
D) $875,000.
E) $46.25 million.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   What is the expected value of perfect information?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
What is the expected value of perfect information?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   According to the maximin approach, the farmer should</strong> A) hire migrant workers if the growing season is good. B) hire teenagers. C) not do any extra hiring. D) hire migrant workers. E) hire teenagers if the growing season is good. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
According to the maximin approach, the farmer should

A) hire migrant workers if the growing season is good.
B) hire teenagers.
C) not do any extra hiring.
D) hire migrant workers.
E) hire teenagers if the growing season is good.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   According to the maximin approach, the landowner should</strong> A) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go down. B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community. C) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go up. D) build townhouses/condominiums. E) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates stay about the same. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
According to the maximin approach, the landowner should

A) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go down.
B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community.
C) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go up.
D) build townhouses/condominiums.
E) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates stay about the same.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the farm owner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the farm owner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Compute the standard deviation for each action.<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Compute the standard deviation for each action.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Compute the standard deviation for each action.<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Compute the standard deviation for each action.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Suppose the Farmers' Almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. What is the expected value of hiring teenagers?</strong> A) $62,500 B) $52,500 C) $46,250 D) $12,990 E) $20,313 <div style=padding-top: 35px>
Suppose the Farmers' Almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. What is the expected value of hiring teenagers?

A) $62,500
B) $52,500
C) $46,250
D) $12,990
E) $20,313
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Using the maximin approach, which action should the farm owner choose?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Using the maximin approach, which action should the farm owner choose?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   What is the expected value of perfect information?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
What is the expected value of perfect information?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Using the maximax approach, which action should the farm owner choose?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Using the maximax approach, which action should the farm owner choose?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the landowner choose?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the landowner choose?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   The expected value of perfect information is</strong> A) $2.5 million. B) $3.625 million. C) $2.75 million. D) $875,000. E) $40.00 million. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
The expected value of perfect information is

A) $2.5 million.
B) $3.625 million.
C) $2.75 million.
D) $875,000.
E) $40.00 million.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Using the maximax approach, which action should the landowner choose?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Using the maximax approach, which action should the landowner choose?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Based on the expected value approach, the farmer should</strong> A) hire teenagers if the growing season is good. B) hire teenagers. C) not do any extra hiring. D) hire migrant workers. E) not do any extra hiring if the growing season is bad. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
Based on the expected value approach, the farmer should

A) hire teenagers if the growing season is good.
B) hire teenagers.
C) not do any extra hiring.
D) hire migrant workers.
E) not do any extra hiring if the growing season is bad.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the landowner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the landowner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Suppose the farmer's almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the farm owner choose?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Suppose the farmer's almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the farm owner choose?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Using the maximin approach, which action should the land owner choose?<div style=padding-top: 35px>
Using the maximin approach, which action should the land owner choose?
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   Historically the probability of rain on the day of the planned concert is 0.20. What is the expected value of an indoor concert?</strong> A) $14,000 B) $26,000 C) $4,000 D) $2,000 E) $10,000 <div style=padding-top: 35px>
Historically the probability of rain on the day of the planned concert is 0.20. What is the expected value of an indoor concert?

A) $14,000
B) $26,000
C) $4,000
D) $2,000
E) $10,000
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   The standard deviation for hiring migrant workers is</strong> A) $21,651. B) $12,990. C) $5,495. D) $2,500. E) $147. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
The standard deviation for hiring migrant workers is

A) $21,651.
B) $12,990.
C) $5,495.
D) $2,500.
E) $147.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   The standard deviation for an outdoor concert is</strong> A) $18,000. B) $14,000. C) $2,000. D) $26,000. E) $10,770. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
The standard deviation for an outdoor concert is

A) $18,000.
B) $14,000.
C) $2,000.
D) $26,000.
E) $10,770.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The expected value of mutual funds is</strong> A) $525. B) $150. C) $600. D) $1,150. E) $925. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
The expected value of mutual funds is

A) $525.
B) $150.
C) $600.
D) $1,150.
E) $925.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The Return to Risk Ratio for bonds is</strong> A) 8.4854. B) 70.71. C) 0.1055. D) 1.8935. E) 0.1179. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
The Return to Risk Ratio for bonds is

A) 8.4854.
B) 70.71.
C) 0.1055.
D) 1.8935.
E) 0.1179.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   If the farmer is risk averse, he would</strong> A) hire migrant workers. B) hire teenagers. C) not do any extra hiring. D) make the same decision as he would using the expected value approach. E) give up farming. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
If the farmer is risk averse, he would

A) hire migrant workers.
B) hire teenagers.
C) not do any extra hiring.
D) make the same decision as he would using the expected value approach.
E) give up farming.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The expected value with perfect information is</strong> A) $925. B) $600. C) $525. D) $325. E) $150. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
The expected value with perfect information is

A) $925.
B) $600.
C) $525.
D) $325.
E) $150.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   If the group is risk averse, they should</strong> A) plan to hold the event indoors. B) plan to hold the event outdoors. C) make the same decision as they would using the expected value approach. D) decide not to hold the event at all. E) plan to hold the event outdoors if it does not rain. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
If the group is risk averse, they should

A) plan to hold the event indoors.
B) plan to hold the event outdoors.
C) make the same decision as they would using the expected value approach.
D) decide not to hold the event at all.
E) plan to hold the event outdoors if it does not rain.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   According to the maximax approach, the investor would place his $10,000 in</strong> A) stocks. B) bonds. C) mutual funds. D) mutual funds if there is economic growth. E) bonds if there is no change in economic climate. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
According to the maximax approach, the investor would place his $10,000 in

A) stocks.
B) bonds.
C) mutual funds.
D) mutual funds if there is economic growth.
E) bonds if there is no change in economic climate.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   According to the maximin approach, the group should</strong> A) hold the concert indoors. B) hold the concert outdoors. C) hold the concert outdoors if it does not rain. D) hold the concert indoors if it rains. E) hold the concert indoors if it does not rain. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
According to the maximin approach, the group should

A) hold the concert indoors.
B) hold the concert outdoors.
C) hold the concert outdoors if it does not rain.
D) hold the concert indoors if it rains.
E) hold the concert indoors if it does not rain.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The expected value of perfect information is</strong> A) $325. B) $400. C) $775. D) $925. E) $600. <div style=padding-top: 35px>
The expected value of perfect information is

A) $325.
B) $400.
C) $775.
D) $925.
E) $600.
سؤال
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   What is the expected value of perfect information?</strong> A) $4,000 B) $30,000 C) $14,000 D) $26,000 E) $10,000 <div style=padding-top: 35px>
What is the expected value of perfect information?

A) $4,000
B) $30,000
C) $14,000
D) $26,000
E) $10,000
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Deck 23: Decision Making and Risk
1
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Based on the expected value approach, the landowner should</strong> A) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates stay about the same. B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community. C) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go down. D) build townhouses/condominiums. E) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go up.
Based on the expected value approach, the landowner should

A) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates stay about the same.
B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community.
C) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go down.
D) build townhouses/condominiums.
E) build townhouses/condominiums if interest rates go up.
build detached homes in a planned retirement community.
2
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   If the landowner is risk averse he would choose the action with the lowest Coefficient of Variation (CV). Which of the following is true?</strong> A) The CV is lower for building townhouses and condominiums. B) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community. C) Even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach. D) The CV is higher for building townhouses and condominiums, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach. E) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach.
If the landowner is risk averse he would choose the action with the lowest Coefficient of Variation (CV). Which of the following is true?

A) The CV is lower for building townhouses and condominiums.
B) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community.
C) Even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach.
D) The CV is higher for building townhouses and condominiums, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach.
E) The CV is lower for building detached homes in a planned retirement community, and even if the landowner is risk averse, the CV leads to the same choice as the expected value approach.
The CV is lower for building townhouses and condominiums.
3
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. The expected value for building detached homes in a planned retirement community is</strong> A) $2.5 million. B) $3.625 million. C) $2.75 million. D) $875,000. E) $46.25 million.
Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. The expected value for building detached homes in a planned retirement community is

A) $2.5 million.
B) $3.625 million.
C) $2.75 million.
D) $875,000.
E) $46.25 million.
$2.75 million.
4
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   What is the expected value of perfect information?
What is the expected value of perfect information?
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5
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   According to the maximin approach, the farmer should</strong> A) hire migrant workers if the growing season is good. B) hire teenagers. C) not do any extra hiring. D) hire migrant workers. E) hire teenagers if the growing season is good.
According to the maximin approach, the farmer should

A) hire migrant workers if the growing season is good.
B) hire teenagers.
C) not do any extra hiring.
D) hire migrant workers.
E) hire teenagers if the growing season is good.
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6
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   According to the maximin approach, the landowner should</strong> A) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go down. B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community. C) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go up. D) build townhouses/condominiums. E) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates stay about the same.
According to the maximin approach, the landowner should

A) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go down.
B) build detached homes in a planned retirement community.
C) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates go up.
D) build townhouses/condominiums.
E) build detached homes in a planned retirement community if interest rates stay about the same.
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7
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the farm owner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.
Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the farm owner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.
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k this deck
8
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Compute the standard deviation for each action.
Compute the standard deviation for each action.
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9
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Compute the standard deviation for each action.
Compute the standard deviation for each action.
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10
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Suppose the Farmers' Almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. What is the expected value of hiring teenagers?</strong> A) $62,500 B) $52,500 C) $46,250 D) $12,990 E) $20,313
Suppose the Farmers' Almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. What is the expected value of hiring teenagers?

A) $62,500
B) $52,500
C) $46,250
D) $12,990
E) $20,313
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11
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Using the maximin approach, which action should the farm owner choose?
Using the maximin approach, which action should the farm owner choose?
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12
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   What is the expected value of perfect information?
What is the expected value of perfect information?
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13
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Using the maximax approach, which action should the farm owner choose?
Using the maximax approach, which action should the farm owner choose?
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14
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the landowner choose?
Suppose housing analysts predict that the probabilities for future mortgage interest rates going up, staying about the same, and going down are 0.35, 0.50 and 0.15, respectively. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the landowner choose?
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15
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   The expected value of perfect information is</strong> A) $2.5 million. B) $3.625 million. C) $2.75 million. D) $875,000. E) $40.00 million.
The expected value of perfect information is

A) $2.5 million.
B) $3.625 million.
C) $2.75 million.
D) $875,000.
E) $40.00 million.
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16
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Using the maximax approach, which action should the landowner choose?
Using the maximax approach, which action should the landowner choose?
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17
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Based on the expected value approach, the farmer should</strong> A) hire teenagers if the growing season is good. B) hire teenagers. C) not do any extra hiring. D) hire migrant workers. E) not do any extra hiring if the growing season is bad.
Based on the expected value approach, the farmer should

A) hire teenagers if the growing season is good.
B) hire teenagers.
C) not do any extra hiring.
D) hire migrant workers.
E) not do any extra hiring if the growing season is bad.
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18
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the landowner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.
Compute the Coefficient of Variation for each action. If the landowner is risk averse, would the CV approach lead to the same choice as the expected value approach? Explain.
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19
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   Suppose the farmer's almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the farm owner choose?
Suppose the farmer's almanac predicts the probability of a good growing season this year to be 0.75. Compute the expected value for each action. Based on these results, which action should the farm owner choose?
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20
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below. Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A landowner is considering a community development project. Even though he realizes that the current market for housing is not very favourable, he believes that there will be an influx of retirees into the area within the next five years. He is trying to decide between two alternatives: (1) building detached homes in a planned retirement community or (2) building a smaller townhouse/condominium complex. Mortgage interest rates will affect his outcomes and the applicable payoff (in $ millions) table is shown below.   Using the maximin approach, which action should the land owner choose?
Using the maximin approach, which action should the land owner choose?
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21
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   Historically the probability of rain on the day of the planned concert is 0.20. What is the expected value of an indoor concert?</strong> A) $14,000 B) $26,000 C) $4,000 D) $2,000 E) $10,000
Historically the probability of rain on the day of the planned concert is 0.20. What is the expected value of an indoor concert?

A) $14,000
B) $26,000
C) $4,000
D) $2,000
E) $10,000
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22
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   The standard deviation for hiring migrant workers is</strong> A) $21,651. B) $12,990. C) $5,495. D) $2,500. E) $147.
The standard deviation for hiring migrant workers is

A) $21,651.
B) $12,990.
C) $5,495.
D) $2,500.
E) $147.
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23
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   The standard deviation for an outdoor concert is</strong> A) $18,000. B) $14,000. C) $2,000. D) $26,000. E) $10,770.
The standard deviation for an outdoor concert is

A) $18,000.
B) $14,000.
C) $2,000.
D) $26,000.
E) $10,770.
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24
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The expected value of mutual funds is</strong> A) $525. B) $150. C) $600. D) $1,150. E) $925.
The expected value of mutual funds is

A) $525.
B) $150.
C) $600.
D) $1,150.
E) $925.
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25
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The Return to Risk Ratio for bonds is</strong> A) 8.4854. B) 70.71. C) 0.1055. D) 1.8935. E) 0.1179.
The Return to Risk Ratio for bonds is

A) 8.4854.
B) 70.71.
C) 0.1055.
D) 1.8935.
E) 0.1179.
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26
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below. <strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A farm owner who grows summer vegetables (e.g. tomatoes) must decide whether to employ additional pickers this season. If he does, he could hire either migrant workers or local teenagers who need summer employment. The migrant workers are more experienced, faster, but more expensive. Although the teenagers will work for less, they are not as experienced and tend to damage plants and produce. His profits, taking into account losses from unpicked perished or damaged produce, depend on whether there is a good or bad growing season. The payoffs are shown in the table below.   If the farmer is risk averse, he would</strong> A) hire migrant workers. B) hire teenagers. C) not do any extra hiring. D) make the same decision as he would using the expected value approach. E) give up farming.
If the farmer is risk averse, he would

A) hire migrant workers.
B) hire teenagers.
C) not do any extra hiring.
D) make the same decision as he would using the expected value approach.
E) give up farming.
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27
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The expected value with perfect information is</strong> A) $925. B) $600. C) $525. D) $325. E) $150.
The expected value with perfect information is

A) $925.
B) $600.
C) $525.
D) $325.
E) $150.
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28
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   If the group is risk averse, they should</strong> A) plan to hold the event indoors. B) plan to hold the event outdoors. C) make the same decision as they would using the expected value approach. D) decide not to hold the event at all. E) plan to hold the event outdoors if it does not rain.
If the group is risk averse, they should

A) plan to hold the event indoors.
B) plan to hold the event outdoors.
C) make the same decision as they would using the expected value approach.
D) decide not to hold the event at all.
E) plan to hold the event outdoors if it does not rain.
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29
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   According to the maximax approach, the investor would place his $10,000 in</strong> A) stocks. B) bonds. C) mutual funds. D) mutual funds if there is economic growth. E) bonds if there is no change in economic climate.
According to the maximax approach, the investor would place his $10,000 in

A) stocks.
B) bonds.
C) mutual funds.
D) mutual funds if there is economic growth.
E) bonds if there is no change in economic climate.
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30
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   According to the maximin approach, the group should</strong> A) hold the concert indoors. B) hold the concert outdoors. C) hold the concert outdoors if it does not rain. D) hold the concert indoors if it rains. E) hold the concert indoors if it does not rain.
According to the maximin approach, the group should

A) hold the concert indoors.
B) hold the concert outdoors.
C) hold the concert outdoors if it does not rain.
D) hold the concert indoors if it rains.
E) hold the concert indoors if it does not rain.
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31
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25.
Action Economic Climate
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: An investor has $10,000 to invest for one year. The choices for the placement of the funds include stocks, bonds, and mutual funds. The outcome of the investment however, will depend on the economic climate during the year. The table presents the payoffs in dollars for three possible economic scenarios. Forecasts suggest that the probability of a slowdown is 0.25, of no change is 0.50, and of growth is 0.25. Action Economic Climate   The expected value of perfect information is</strong> A) $325. B) $400. C) $775. D) $925. E) $600.
The expected value of perfect information is

A) $325.
B) $400.
C) $775.
D) $925.
E) $600.
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32
Consider the following to answer the question(s) below:
A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below:
Action Weather Conditions
<strong>Consider the following to answer the question(s) below: A group is planning a fundraising concert. They must decide whether to hold the event indoors or out. The weather, specifically, whether or not it rains that day, will affect the amount raised by the event. The payoff table is shown below: Action Weather Conditions   What is the expected value of perfect information?</strong> A) $4,000 B) $30,000 C) $14,000 D) $26,000 E) $10,000
What is the expected value of perfect information?

A) $4,000
B) $30,000
C) $14,000
D) $26,000
E) $10,000
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