Dottie has the illusory belief that there is a correlation between washing her car and the occurrence of rain in her area. According to research, Dottie is now much more likely to notice when

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Dottie has the belief that washing her car causes rain, so she will be more likely to notice when it rains after she has washed her car. This fits with option B, where it rains and she has just washed her car. Option A doesn't fit because it doesn't confirm her belief, and option C doesn't fit because it doesn't involve rain at all. Option D includes all possible options, but only option B directly relates to her belief.

Dottie Has the Illusory Belief That There Is a Correlation