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A Man Owns an Audi, a Ford, and a VW

Question 165

Multiple Choice

A man owns an Audi, a Ford, and a VW. He drives everyday and never drives the same car two days in a row. These are the probabilities that he drives each of the other cars the next day: ​
Pr(Ford after Audi) = 0.5
Pr(VW after Audi) = 0.5
Pr(Audi after Ford) = 0.6
Pr(VW after Ford) = 0.4
Pr(Audi after VW) = 0.9
Pr(Ford after VW) = 0.1

If he drove the Ford on Monday, what is the probability that he will drive the VW on Wednesday?


A) ​Pr(VW on Wednesday) = 0.3
B) ​Pr(VW on Wednesday) = 0.4
C) ​Pr(VW on Wednesday) = 0.01
D) ​Pr(VW on Wednesday) = 0.1
E) ​Pr(VW on Wednesday) = 0.16

Correct Answer:

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