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The Following Table Provides Information About the Profit Payoff of an Investment

Question 46

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The following table provides information about the profit payoff of an investment strategy.

 Decision  State of Nature  Alternative sls2s3s4d152444436d252686040d336363644 Probability 0.30.20.40.1\begin{array} { c c c c c } \text { Decision } &&{ \text { State of Nature } } \\\hline \text { Alternative } & \boldsymbol { s l } & \boldsymbol { s 2 } & \boldsymbol { s 3 } & \mathbf { s 4 } \\\hline d 1 & 52 & 44 & 44 & 36 \\d 2 & 52 & 68 & 60 & 40 \\d 3 & 36 & 36 & 36 & 44 \\\hline \text { Probability } & 0.3 & 0.2 & 0.4 & 0.1 \\\hline\end{array}
a. What is the optimal decision strategy if perfect information were available?
b. What is the expected value for the decision strategy developed in part a?
c. Using the expected value approach, what is the recommended decision without perfect information? What is its expected value?
d. What is the expected value of perfect information?

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a. If s1, select d1 or d2 and receive a pay...

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