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Suppose in the Wall Street Journal You See the Following

Question 12

Essay

Suppose in the Wall Street Journal you see the following current (spot) interest rates for Treasury bonds with an upward sloping yield curve:
5-year bond rate = 1.45%; 10-year bond rate = 2.13%
a. Under the expectations theory, what is the expected 5-year bond rate (forward rate) 5 years from now? Based on your answer, what are rates expected to do (rise/fall/stay the same)? Explain why.
b. For the problem in 12a., if there is a liquidity premium of 0.10% for a 5-year bond and 0.20% for a 10-year bond, under the liquidity premium theory (adjusting for liquidity premiums incorporated in bond rates) what is the new expected 5-year bond rate 5 years from now? Based on your answer, what are rates expected to do (rise/fall/stay the same)? Explain why

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