Juanita and Robert have four daughters together and Juanita is currently pregnant with their fifth child. The couple tells a neighbor, "After four girls, we're confident this one will be a boy because we are due for a son." Which concept best explains this statement?

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The statement reflects a misunderstanding of probability and the belief that a certain outcome is "due" after a series of other outcomes, which is an example of bias, specifically the gambler's fallacy.

Juanita and Robert Have Four Daughters Together and Juanita Is