Margo is tossing a coin, and for the last nine tosses it has landed on heads. Margo says, "The coin is definitely due to land on tails on my tenth toss!" What is wrong with Margo's logic?
A) She is certain to toss the coin in a manner that will ensure her predicted outcome.
B) She is failing to consider alternate outcomes besides heads or tails.
C) She is ignoring the base rate probability of 1 : 2 for heads and 1 : 2 for tails.
D) none of these
Correct Answer:
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