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This Is Gamble 1: Do You Prefer a Sure Win

Question 36

Multiple Choice

This is gamble 1: do you prefer a sure win of $5 or a 75% chance to win $8? This is gamble 2: in the first stage, you have an 80% chance to end the game with no prize and a 20% chance to move to the second stage. Before completing the first stage, you must select one of the following second-stage choices: do you prefer a sure win of $5 or a 75% chance to win $8? This is gamble 3: do you prefer a 20% chance to win $5 or a 15% chance to win $8? Because of framing, which two of the gambles do people tend to treat incorrectly as identical?


A) gamble 1 and 2
B) gamble 2 and 3
C) gamble 1 and 3

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