Up until three years ago,A.C. Dime opened an average of ten new retail stores a year. One of those stores had to be closed within two years due to poor sales. This 90 percent success ratio was fairly steady for over 30 years. Starting three years ago, the firm has opened 40 new stores and every one had significant profits within 6 months. Management believes their recent success is not just a random event and that all future stores will be profitable. Thus, the managers have decided to open a minimum of 15 new stores each year. The managers are suffering from:

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The managers are suffering from the clustering illusion, which is the tendency to see patterns in random events. They believe that the recent success of new stores is a pattern that will continue, rather than considering it might be a random occurrence.

Up Until Three Years Ago,A