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Willy's Only Source of Wealth Is His Chocolate Factory

Question 12

Multiple Choice

Willy's only source of wealth is his chocolate factory.He has the utility function pc1/2f + (1 - p) c1/2nf, where p is the probability of a flood, 1 - p is the probability of no flood, and cf and cnf are his wealth contingent on a flood and on no flood, respectively.The probability of a flood is p = 1/14.The value of Willy's factory is $500,000 if there is no flood and 0 if there is a flood.Willy can buy insurance where if he buys $x worth of insurance, he must pay the insurance company $4x/17 whether there is a flood or not, but he gets back $x from the company if there is a flood.Willy should buy


A) enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be the same whether there is a flood or not.
B) enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be 1/16 of what it would be if there is no flood.
C) no insurance since the cost per dollar of insurance exceeds the probability of a flood.
D) enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be 1/5 of what it would be if there is no flood.
E) enough insurance so that if there is a flood, after he collects his insurance, his wealth will be 1/9 of what it would be if there is no flood.

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