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The Dollar Department Store Chain Has the Opportunity of Acquiring

Question 47

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The Dollar Department Store chain has the opportunity of acquiring either 3,5,or 10 leases from the bankrupt Granite Variety Store chain.Dollar estimates the profit potential of the leases depends on the state of the economy over the next five years.There are four possible states of the economy as modeled by Dollar Department Stores and its president estimates P(s1)= .4,P(s2)= .3,P(s3)= .1,and P(s4)= .2.The utility has also been estimated.Given the payoffs (in $1,000,000's)and utility values below,which decision should Dollar make?
 The Dollar Department Store chain has the opportunity of acquiring either 3,5,or 10 leases from the bankrupt Granite Variety Store chain.Dollar estimates the profit potential of the leases depends on the state of the economy over the next five years.There are four possible states of the economy as modeled by Dollar Department Stores and its president estimates P(s<sub>1</sub>)= .4,P(s<sub>2</sub>)= .3,P(s<sub>3</sub>)= .1,and P(s<sub>4</sub>)= .2.The utility has also been estimated.Given the payoffs (in $1,000,000's)and utility values below,which decision should Dollar make?     \begin{array}{l} \text { Utility Table }\\ \begin{array} { l l l l l l l l }  \text { Payoff } ( \text { in } \$ 1,000,000 ' s ) & + 10 & + 5 & + 2 & 0 & - 1 & - 10 & - 20 \\ \hline \text { Utility } & + 10 & + 5 & + 2 & 0 & - 1 & - 20 & - 50 \end{array} \end{array}  Utility Table  Payoff ( in $1,000,000s)+10+5+2011020 Utility +10+5+2012050\begin{array}{l}\text { Utility Table }\\\begin{array} { l l l l l l l l } \text { Payoff } ( \text { in } \$ 1,000,000 ' s ) & + 10 & + 5 & + 2 & 0 & - 1 & - 10 & - 20 \\\hline \text { Utility } & + 10 & + 5 & + 2 & 0 & - 1 & - 20 & - 50\end{array}\end{array}

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