Deck 6: Exchange Rates, interest Rates, and Interest Parity
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Deck 6: Exchange Rates, interest Rates, and Interest Parity
1
Assume the following: the current spot rate S¥/$ = 100.0 and the annual interest rates: iJAPAN = 2% and iUS = 10%.According to covered interest parity,if an intern at Citibank sets the one-year forward rate: F360¥/$ = 91,then:
A) the intern has correctly set the forward rate.
B) both U.S. and Japan's investment returns are equal.
C) the Japan's investment return exceeds the U.S. investment return
D) the U.S. investment return exceed the Japan's investment return
A) the intern has correctly set the forward rate.
B) both U.S. and Japan's investment returns are equal.
C) the Japan's investment return exceeds the U.S. investment return
D) the U.S. investment return exceed the Japan's investment return
the Japan's investment return exceeds the U.S. investment return
2
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 8% and the equivalent one-year India interest rate is 12%.According to covered interest parity,there is:
A) Forward discount on dollar.
B) Forward premium on dollar.
C) Forward premium for Indian rupee.
D) Forward flat on dollar
A) Forward discount on dollar.
B) Forward premium on dollar.
C) Forward premium for Indian rupee.
D) Forward flat on dollar
Forward premium on dollar.
3
Use the following information to answer questions 6-9.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.On May 5,2012,the 1-year forward yen was selling at a:
A) 3.56% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 3.69% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 3.56% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 3.69% discount per annum against the dollar.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.On May 5,2012,the 1-year forward yen was selling at a:
A) 3.56% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 3.69% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 3.56% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 3.69% discount per annum against the dollar.
3.56% premium per annum against the dollar.
4
Assume that the 6-month iUS = 10% and the 6-month iSwiss = 20%,and the spot rate is $1.20 per Swiss franc.Using the approximate covered interest rate parity condition,the 6-month forward rate $/Swiss franc is:
A) 1.08
B) 1.14
C) 1.26
D) 1.32
A) 1.08
B) 1.14
C) 1.26
D) 1.32
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5
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 8% and the equivalent one-year India interest rate is 12%.Using the exact covered interest parity,the dollar is expected to:
A) depreciate by 3.6%.
B) depreciate by 50%.
C) appreciate by 3.6%
D) appreciate by 50%.
A) depreciate by 3.6%.
B) depreciate by 50%.
C) appreciate by 3.6%
D) appreciate by 50%.
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6
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 8% and the one-year Swiss interest rate is 10%.If the current spot rate is $1.50 per Swiss franc,what must the one-year forward rate $/SFr be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) $1.47
B) $1.50
C) $1.53
D) $4.50
A) $1.47
B) $1.50
C) $1.53
D) $4.50
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7
If the U.S.and the U.K.have identical term structures of interest rates,we would expect:
A) the pound to appreciate against the dollar.
B) the pound to depreciate against the dollar.
C) no change in the exchange rate between two currencies.
D) there is not enough information to forecast the direction of the exchange rate.
A) the pound to appreciate against the dollar.
B) the pound to depreciate against the dollar.
C) no change in the exchange rate between two currencies.
D) there is not enough information to forecast the direction of the exchange rate.
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8
Assume the following: the current spot rate S$/£ = 2.00 and the annual interest rates: iUS = 4% and iUK = 8%.According to covered interest parity,if an intern at a bank in U.K.sets the 90-day forward: F90$/£ = 1.80,then:
A) the intern has correctly set the forward rate.
B) both U.S. and U.K. investment returns are equal.
C) the British investment return exceeds the U.S. investment return
D) the U.S. investment return exceed the British investment return
A) the intern has correctly set the forward rate.
B) both U.S. and U.K. investment returns are equal.
C) the British investment return exceeds the U.S. investment return
D) the U.S. investment return exceed the British investment return
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9
Use the following information to answer questions 6-9.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.Comparing the yen's forward rates against the yen's spot rate,over the period of a forward contract,we would expect the yen's spot rate to:
A) remain constant against the dollar
B) appreciate against the dollar
C) depreciate against the dollar
D) depreciate against the dollar in the first 30 days and then appreciate afterward.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.Comparing the yen's forward rates against the yen's spot rate,over the period of a forward contract,we would expect the yen's spot rate to:
A) remain constant against the dollar
B) appreciate against the dollar
C) depreciate against the dollar
D) depreciate against the dollar in the first 30 days and then appreciate afterward.
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10
Let i be the nominal interest rate,re is real interest rate,and πe is the expected rate of inflation.The Fisher equation is:
A) i=re + πe
B) i=re - πe
C) i=re × πe
D) i=re ÷ πe
A) i=re + πe
B) i=re - πe
C) i=re × πe
D) i=re ÷ πe
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11
Use the following information to answer questions 6-9.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.On May 5,2012,the 1-month forward yen was selling at a:
A) 1.69% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 20.22% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 1.69% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 20.22% discount per annum against the dollar.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.On May 5,2012,the 1-month forward yen was selling at a:
A) 1.69% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 20.22% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 1.69% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 20.22% discount per annum against the dollar.
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12
Assume that the 3-month iUS = 8% and the 3-month iUK = 4%,and the spot rate is $1.50 per pound.Using the approximate covered interest rate parity condition,the 3-month forward rate $/pound is:
A) 1.440
B) 1.515
C) 1.527
D) 1.560
A) 1.440
B) 1.515
C) 1.527
D) 1.560
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13
Use the following information to answer questions 6-9.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.On May 5,2012,the 3-month forward yen was selling at a:
A) 2.43% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 9.72% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 2.43% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 9.72% discount per annum against the dollar.
Table 6.1: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.1.On May 5,2012,the 3-month forward yen was selling at a:
A) 2.43% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 9.72% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 2.43% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 9.72% discount per annum against the dollar.
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14
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 10%.If the one-year forward rate against the pound is $1.52 per pound and the spot exchange rate is $1.50 per pound,what must the equivalent British interest rate be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) 8.67%
B) 9.95%
C) 10%
D) 11.33%
A) 8.67%
B) 9.95%
C) 10%
D) 11.33%
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15
Use the following information to answer questions 10-12.
Table 6.2: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.2.On May 5,2012,the 3-month forward yen was selling at a:
A) 13.10% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 52.40% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 13.10% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 52.40% discount per annum against the dollar.
Table 6.2: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.2.On May 5,2012,the 3-month forward yen was selling at a:
A) 13.10% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 52.40% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 13.10% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 52.40% discount per annum against the dollar.
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16
Use the following information to answer questions 10-12.
Table 6.2: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.2.On May 5,2012,the 1-month forward pound was selling at a:
A) 9.52% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 114.24% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 9.52% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 114.24% discount per annum against the dollar.
Table 6.2: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.2.On May 5,2012,the 1-month forward pound was selling at a:
A) 9.52% premium per annum against the dollar.
B) 114.24% premium per annum against the dollar.
C) 9.52% discount per annum against the dollar.
D) 114.24% discount per annum against the dollar.
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17
Use the following information to answer questions 10-12.
Table 6.2: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.2.Comparing the yen's forward rates against the yen's spot rate,over the period of a forward contract,we would expect the yen's spot rate to:
A) remain constant against the dollar
B) appreciate against the dollar
C) depreciate against the dollar
D) depreciate against the dollar in the first 30 days and then appreciate afterward.
Table 6.2: Spot and Forward Exchange Rates on May 5, 2012.

Refer to Table 6.2.Comparing the yen's forward rates against the yen's spot rate,over the period of a forward contract,we would expect the yen's spot rate to:
A) remain constant against the dollar
B) appreciate against the dollar
C) depreciate against the dollar
D) depreciate against the dollar in the first 30 days and then appreciate afterward.
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18
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 9% and the one-year U.K.interest rate is 8%.If the current spot rate is $1.70 per pound,what must the one-year forward rate $/pound be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) $1.683
B) $1.717
C) $1.723
D) $3.400
A) $1.683
B) $1.717
C) $1.723
D) $3.400
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19
Assume the following:
You have $10,000 to invest.
The current spot rate: S$/£ = 2.00,the 90-day forward: F90$/£ = 1.80,annual interest rates: iUS = 4% and iUK = 8%.
If you invest $10,000 in the U.S.for 90 days,you will get $____________.If you invest in the U.K.and cover in the forward market for 90 days,you will get $__________.
A) $10,100: $10,098
B) $10,400: $9,720
C) $10,100: $10,133
D) $10,400: $10,692
You have $10,000 to invest.
The current spot rate: S$/£ = 2.00,the 90-day forward: F90$/£ = 1.80,annual interest rates: iUS = 4% and iUK = 8%.
If you invest $10,000 in the U.S.for 90 days,you will get $____________.If you invest in the U.K.and cover in the forward market for 90 days,you will get $__________.
A) $10,100: $10,098
B) $10,400: $9,720
C) $10,100: $10,133
D) $10,400: $10,692
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20
Assume two countries,A and B have the following Fisher equations,where i is nominal interest rate,r is real interest rate,and π is the expected rate of inflation:
iA = rA + πA
iB = rB + πB
Spot and forward rates are expressed as currency A per currency B.When the covered interest parity holds and rA = rB, then
A)
B)
C)
D)
iA = rA + πA
iB = rB + πB
Spot and forward rates are expressed as currency A per currency B.When the covered interest parity holds and rA = rB, then
A)

B)

C)

D)

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21
Use the following graph to answer questions 23-24.
Figure 6.1: Yield Curves
Refer to Figure 6.1.The forward _________ on the U.S.dollar becomes ______ at higher maturities.
A) discount, larger
B) discount, smaller
C) premium, larger
D) premium, smaller
Figure 6.1: Yield Curves

Refer to Figure 6.1.The forward _________ on the U.S.dollar becomes ______ at higher maturities.
A) discount, larger
B) discount, smaller
C) premium, larger
D) premium, smaller
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22
When investors hedge themselves from risk using forward contracts,the international investment is considered:
A) Flat
B) Discounted
C) A bargain
D) Covered
A) Flat
B) Discounted
C) A bargain
D) Covered
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23
If the expected inflation in Brazil in higher than the expected inflation in the U.S.,and the real interest rates are equal across countries,then we would expect the Brazilian real Brazil's currency to:
A) appreciate
B) depreciate
C) remain the same
D) depreciate and then appreciate later.
A) appreciate
B) depreciate
C) remain the same
D) depreciate and then appreciate later.
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24
Assume a nominal interest rate on one-year U.S.Treasury Bills of 5.30% and a real rate of interest of 1.50%.Using the Fisher Effect Equation,what is the approximate expected rate of inflation in the U.S.over the next year?
A) - 3.80%
B) 3.53%
C) 3.80%
D) 6.80%
A) - 3.80%
B) 3.53%
C) 3.80%
D) 6.80%
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25
Which of the following reasons explain why interest rate parity may not hold perfectly?
I.Controls on financial capital flows
II.Offshore risk accounting rules
III.Different tax rates for interest and foreign exchange rate earnings
IV.Time zone fluctuations
A) I only
B) I and III
C) I, II, and III
D) I, III, and IV
I.Controls on financial capital flows
II.Offshore risk accounting rules
III.Different tax rates for interest and foreign exchange rate earnings
IV.Time zone fluctuations
A) I only
B) I and III
C) I, II, and III
D) I, III, and IV
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26
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 5% and the equivalent one-year Swiss interest rate is 4%.According to the covered interest rate parity,there is a ________ on the Swiss franc.
A) 1% forward discount
B) 1% forward premium
C) 9% forward discount
D) Forward flat
A) 1% forward discount
B) 1% forward premium
C) 9% forward discount
D) Forward flat
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27
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 13% and the one-year Swiss interest rate is 2%.If the current spot rate is $1.40 per Swiss franc,what must the one-year forward rate $/SFr be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) 1.246
B) 1.330
C) 1.470
D) 2.100
A) 1.246
B) 1.330
C) 1.470
D) 2.100
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28
The preferred habit theory of term structure of interest rates suggests that long-term bonds should________ short-term bonds due to investor risk aversion.
A) Hold a premium over
B) Have a discount over
C) Offer the same return as
D) Be entirely separate of
A) Hold a premium over
B) Have a discount over
C) Offer the same return as
D) Be entirely separate of
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29
Deviations from interest rate parity could be the result of:
A) different tax treatment of income and foreign exchange earnings
B) political risk
C) transaction costs
D) All of the above are correct.
A) different tax treatment of income and foreign exchange earnings
B) political risk
C) transaction costs
D) All of the above are correct.
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30
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 5% and the equivalent one-year Swiss interest rate is 4%.According to the covered interest rate parity,there is a forward discount on the Swiss franc.
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31
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 4% and the one-year U.K.interest rate is 6%.If the current spot rate is $1.80 per pound,what must the one-year forward rate $/pound be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) 1.360
B) 1.764
C) 1.836
D) 1.980
A) 1.360
B) 1.764
C) 1.836
D) 1.980
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32
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 8% and the equivalent one-year U.K.interest rate is 10%.According to the covered interest rate parity,there is a ________ on the U.S dollar.
A) 2% forward discount
B) 2% forward premium
C) 18% forward discount
D) 18% forward premium
A) 2% forward discount
B) 2% forward premium
C) 18% forward discount
D) 18% forward premium
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33
Use the following graph to answer questions 23-24.
Figure 6.1: Yield Curves
Refer to Figure 6.1.At 3-month maturity,the U.S.dollar sells at a forward ______ and the Korean won sells at a forward _______.
A) discount; discount
B) discount; premium
C) premium; premium
D) premium; discount
Figure 6.1: Yield Curves

Refer to Figure 6.1.At 3-month maturity,the U.S.dollar sells at a forward ______ and the Korean won sells at a forward _______.
A) discount; discount
B) discount; premium
C) premium; premium
D) premium; discount
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34
Suppose that the one-year Swiss interest rate is 1% and the one-year U.K.interest rate is 11%.If the current spot rate is 0.75 Swiss franc per pound,what must the one-year forward rate SFr/pound be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) 0.675
B) 0.730
C) 0.770
D) 0.825
A) 0.675
B) 0.730
C) 0.770
D) 0.825
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35
The ________ interest rate is equal to the ________ interest rate minus the expected rate of inflation.
A) Real, nominal
B) Predicted, nominal
C) Standard, nominal
D) Nominal, standard
A) Real, nominal
B) Predicted, nominal
C) Standard, nominal
D) Nominal, standard
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36
If the expected inflation in Brazil in higher than the expected inflation in the U.S.,and the real interest rates are equal across countries,then:
A) there is a forward premium on the dollar.
B) there is a forward flat on the dollar.
C) there is a forward discount on the dollar.
D) there is a spot discount on the dollar.
A) there is a forward premium on the dollar.
B) there is a forward flat on the dollar.
C) there is a forward discount on the dollar.
D) there is a spot discount on the dollar.
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37
Suppose interest parity holds.There is a change in U.S.policy that leads to expectations of a lower U.S.inflation rate.The decrease in expected inflation will cause dollar interest rates to _______.
A) Stay the same.
B) Fall.
C) Rise.
D) None of the above.
A) Stay the same.
B) Fall.
C) Rise.
D) None of the above.
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38
Suppose that the covered interest parity holds.If real interest rates are equal in two countries,then:
A) the interest rate differential will equal to expected inflation rate differential.
B) the interest rate differential will equal to the forward premium or discount between two currencies.
C) the expected inflation rate differential will equal to the forward premium or discount between two currencies.
D) All of the above are correct.
A) the interest rate differential will equal to expected inflation rate differential.
B) the interest rate differential will equal to the forward premium or discount between two currencies.
C) the expected inflation rate differential will equal to the forward premium or discount between two currencies.
D) All of the above are correct.
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39
A currency is at a ________ when its interest rate is ________ than the interest rate in the other country.
A) Forward flat, lower
B) Forward discount, lower
C) Forward discount, higher
D) Forward premium, higher
A) Forward flat, lower
B) Forward discount, lower
C) Forward discount, higher
D) Forward premium, higher
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40
A forward discount occurs when:
A) The forward rate is greater than the spot rate.
B) The spot rate is greater than the forward rate.
C) The forward and spot rates are equal.
D) None of the above.
A) The forward rate is greater than the spot rate.
B) The spot rate is greater than the forward rate.
C) The forward and spot rates are equal.
D) None of the above.
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41
Suppose interest parity holds and there is a sudden change in U.S.policy that leads to expectations of a higher U.S.inflation rate.The increase in expected inflation will cause dollar interest rates to rise.
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42
Suppose interest parity holds.There is a change in U.S.policy that leads to expectations of a higher U.S.inflation rate.The increase in expected inflation will cause dollar interest rates to _______.
A) Stay the same.
B) Fall.
C) Rise.
D) None of the above.
A) Stay the same.
B) Fall.
C) Rise.
D) None of the above.
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43
Deviations from interest rate parity could come from:
A) Transaction costs
B) Government controls
C) Political risk
D) All of the above.
A) Transaction costs
B) Government controls
C) Political risk
D) All of the above.
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44
Profit-seeking arbitrage activity ensures:
A) Covered interest rate parity.
B) Decreased competition.
C) Higher interest rates on loans.
D) Increased banking regulation.
A) Covered interest rate parity.
B) Decreased competition.
C) Higher interest rates on loans.
D) Increased banking regulation.
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45
Which of the following reasons explain why interest rate parity may not hold perfectly?
I.Transaction costs
II.Business loan risks
III.Offshore risk accounting rules
IV.Political risk
A) I only
B) II and III
C) I and IV
D) I, III, and IV
I.Transaction costs
II.Business loan risks
III.Offshore risk accounting rules
IV.Political risk
A) I only
B) II and III
C) I and IV
D) I, III, and IV
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46
The real interest rate is equal to the nominal interest rate plus the expected rate of inflation.
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47
The expected exchange rate changes will be reflected in the differences between the term structure of interest rates in two countries.
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48
The exact and approximate CIRP are close in value when
A) Interest rates are larger
B) Interest rates are smaller
C) Spot rates are larger
D) Spot rates are smaller
A) Interest rates are larger
B) Interest rates are smaller
C) Spot rates are larger
D) Spot rates are smaller
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49
Which of the following reasons explain why interest rate parity may not hold perfectly?
I.Banking practices
II.Government controls
III.Business loan risk
IV.Varying expectations
A) I only
B) II only
C) II and IV
D) I, III, and IV
I.Banking practices
II.Government controls
III.Business loan risk
IV.Varying expectations
A) I only
B) II only
C) II and IV
D) I, III, and IV
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50
The structure of interest rates existing on investment opportunities over time is known as the ______ structure of interest rates.
A) Investment
B) Opportunity
C) Fixed
D) Term
A) Investment
B) Opportunity
C) Fixed
D) Term
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51
A forward premium occurs when:
A) The forward rate is greater than the spot rate.
B) The spot rate is greater than the forward rate.
C) The forward and spot rates are equal.
D) None of the above.
A) The forward rate is greater than the spot rate.
B) The spot rate is greater than the forward rate.
C) The forward and spot rates are equal.
D) None of the above.
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52
A currency is at a ________ when its interest rate is ________ than the interest rate in the other country.
A) Forward flat, lower
B) Forward discount, lower
C) Forward flat, higher
D) Forward premium, lower
A) Forward flat, lower
B) Forward discount, lower
C) Forward flat, higher
D) Forward premium, lower
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53
The equivalence of the interest differential between two currencies to the forward premium or discount is known as interest rate parity.
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54
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 7% and the one-year Swedish interest rate is 10%.If the current spot rate is 6.80 Swedish krona per dollar,what must the one-year forward rate SKr/$ be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) 6.596
B) 6.720
C) 7.004
D) 7.276
A) 6.596
B) 6.720
C) 7.004
D) 7.276
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55
The liquidity premium theory of term structure of interest rates suggests that long-term bonds should________ short-term bonds due to investor risk aversion.
A) Hold a premium over
B) Have a discount over
C) Offer the same return as
D) Be entirely separate of
A) Hold a premium over
B) Have a discount over
C) Offer the same return as
D) Be entirely separate of
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56
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 9% and the one-year U.K.interest rate is 6%.If the current spot rate is $1.80 per pound,what must the one-year forward rate $/pound be according to the approximate covered interest parity?
A) 1.746
B) 1.854
C) 1.908
D) 1.962
A) 1.746
B) 1.854
C) 1.908
D) 1.962
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57
A forward flat occurs when:
A) The forward rate is greater than the spot rate.
B) The spot rate is greater than the forward rate.
C) The forward and spot rates are equal.
D) None of the above.
A) The forward rate is greater than the spot rate.
B) The spot rate is greater than the forward rate.
C) The forward and spot rates are equal.
D) None of the above.
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58
In international finance,covered interest rate parity refers to:
A) The forward rate being in excess of the spot rate.
B) The advantage of one currency over another.
C) The equivalence of the interest differential between two currencies to the forward premium or discount.
D) The difference of the two comparable investments in two different countries.
A) The forward rate being in excess of the spot rate.
B) The advantage of one currency over another.
C) The equivalence of the interest differential between two currencies to the forward premium or discount.
D) The difference of the two comparable investments in two different countries.
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59
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 4% and the equivalent one-year U.K.interest rate is 6%.According to the covered interest rate parity,there is a ________ on the British pound.
A) 2% forward discount
B) 2% forward premium
C) 10% forward discount
D) 10% forward premium
A) 2% forward discount
B) 2% forward premium
C) 10% forward discount
D) 10% forward premium
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60
Pegging exchange rates at fixed levels by buying and selling to maintain the fixed rate by the central bank means that domestic and foreign currency interest rates will have to adjust to parity levels.
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61
Suppose that the one-year U.S.interest rate is 3% and the equivalent one-year Swiss interest rate is 3%.According to the covered interest rate parity,there is a forward flat on the Swiss franc.
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62
The real interest rate is equal to the nominal interest rate minus the expected rate of inflation.
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63
If expected inflation in Canada is higher than expected inflation in the U.K.,and the real interest rates are equal,we would expect the Canadian dollar to appreciate.
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64
The structure of interest rates existing on investment opportunities over time is known as the flat structure of interest rates.
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