A petrochemical company must decide whether to fill a specialty order for one of its customers.Its cost (and therefore profit)depends on the quality of the raw material it has on hand to make the chemical.The firm expects to earn $50,000 from the order if the material is high quality (H)but will lose $30,000 if it is low quality (L).The firm's engineers estimate these probabilities to be 0.32 and 0.68 respectively.Before making its decision,the firm can test the material with one of two outcomes,"favorable" or "unfavorable." A favorable test increases the chance of H to 0.5,while an unfavorable result reduces it to 0.2.The likelihood of a favorable test is 0.4.Determine the expected value of this test.
Correct Answer:
Verified
View Answer
Unlock this answer now
Get Access to more Verified Answers free of charge
Q23: Explain how Bayes Theorem is used to
Q28: With respect to a decision-maker's optimal strategy,what
Q31: The following table shows the probabilities of
Q32: Explain how ascending and descending probabilities of
Q34: The use of intuitive prediction in forecasting:
A)puts
Q35: Assuming a uniform distribution of purchase offers
Q36: Suppose that the firm's expected profit without
Q37: Briefly describe the potential pitfalls associated with
Q37: Buyer A has offered $20,000 for a
Q38: How is a uniform distribution defined?
A)All the
Unlock this Answer For Free Now!
View this answer and more for free by performing one of the following actions
Scan the QR code to install the App and get 2 free unlocks
Unlock quizzes for free by uploading documents