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You Turn on the Television News to See the Effects

Question 165

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You turn on the television news to see the effects of a social disaster,and hear:
a.one commentator (channel BCA)report,"Experts say that 200 people will be saved," and another commentator (channel ACB)report,"Experts say that there is a 1/3 probability that 600 will be saved,and a 2/3 probability that no one will be saved."
Which commentator's (BCA or ACB)views would be preferred? Why?
b.one commentator (channel XYZ)report,"Experts say that 400 people will die," and another commentator (channel ZYX)report,"Experts say that there is a 1/3 probability that no one will die,and a 2/3 probability that 600 people will die."
Which commentator's (XYZ or ZYX)views would be preferred? Why?

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a.Since a calculation is necessary to es...

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