The illusion that uncontrollable events are correlated with our actions is fed by a phenomenon known as

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Regression toward the mean is the phenomenon where extreme or unusual scores tend to be followed by more typical scores. When individuals experience an unusual event after taking a certain action, they may attribute their action as causing the event when in reality it is likely just a result of the regression toward the mean.

The Illusion That Uncontrollable Events Are Correlated with Our Actions