Siobhan can win money by closing her eyes and picking a red marble from a jar filled with many colored marbles. She is being offered the choice to draw a marble from four different jars. If Siobhan is in a positive mood, thinking about all the money that she could win, then which jar does research suggest she is very likely to draw from?

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Research suggests that people are more likely to choose an option that has a higher probability of a positive outcome. Since jar D has the highest number of red marbles (20 out of 100), Siobhan is more likely to draw a red marble from this jar and win money.

Siobhan Can Win Money by Closing Her Eyes and Picking