The formula St = wyt + (1 - w) St-1 is used in time-series forecasting with exponential smoothing,where St is the exponentially smoothed time series at time t,yt is the value of the time series at time t,and w is the smoothing constant.The forecasted value at time t + 1 where w = .4 is given by:
A) Ft + 1 = 0.4yt +1 + 0.6St + 1
B) Ft + 1 = 0.4yt + 0.6St
C) Ft + 1 = 0.4yt + 0.6St - 1
D) Ft + 1 = 0.4yt - 1 + 0.6St
Correct Answer:
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