Although Alex had no idea who would win a particular football game, after the game was over he claimed to have been "99% certain" that the winning team would be victorious. Alex's behavior is best thought of as an example of:

Question

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Alex's behavior is an example of the hindsight bias, which refers to the tendency for people to overestimate their ability to have predicted an event after it has occurred. In this case, Alex is trying to make it seem as though he had a high level of confidence in his prediction, even though he didn't actually know who would win.

Although Alex Had No Idea Who Would Win a Particular