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Janice Boston Owns a Sno-Cone Business and Lives 30 Kms

Question 105

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Janice Boston owns a Sno-Cone business and lives 30 kms from a beach resort. The sale of Sno-Cones is highly dependent upon his location and upon the weather. At the resort, he will profit $120 per day in fair weather, $30 per day in foul weather. At home, he will profit $80 in fair weather, $40 in foul weather. Assume that on any particular day, the weather service suggests a 70% chance of fair weather.
a. Construct Janice's payoff table.
b. What decision is recommended by the expected value criterion?
c. What is the EVPI?

Correct Answer:

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(a) The payoff table is
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