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A Partially Solved PERT Problem Is Detailed in the Table

Question 121

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A partially solved PERT problem is detailed in the table below. Times are given in weeks.
 Activity  Preceding  Optimistic  Time  Probable  Time  Pessimistic  Time  Expected  Time  Variance A79141.361BA2280CA812160DA35101.361EB4680FB68100GC,F2340HD2281.000IH68162.778JG,I46142.778KE,J2250.250\begin{array}{|c|c|c|c|c|c|c|}\hline\text { Activity } & \text { Preceding } & \begin{array}{c}\text { Optimistic } \\\text { Time }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Probable } \\\text { Time }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Pessimistic } \\\text { Time }\end{array} & \begin{array}{c}\text { Expected } \\\text { Time }\end{array} & \text { Variance } \\\hline \mathrm{A} & -- & 7 & 9 & 14 & & 1.361 \\\hline \mathrm{B} & \mathrm{A} & 2 & 2 & 8 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{C} & \mathrm{A} & 8 & 12 & 16 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{D} & \mathrm{A} & 3 & 5 & 10 & & 1.361 \\\hline \mathrm{E} & \mathrm{B} & 4 & 6 & 8 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{F} & \mathrm{B} & 6 & 8 & 10 & & 0 \\\hline \mathrm{G} & \mathrm{C}, \mathrm{F} & 2 & 3 & 4 && 0 \\\hline \mathrm{H} & \mathrm{D} & 2 & 2 & 8 & & 1.000 \\\hline \mathrm{I} & \mathrm{H} & 6 & 8 & 16 & & 2.778 \\\hline \mathrm{J} & \mathrm{G}, \mathrm{I} & 4 & 6 & 14 & & 2.778 \\\hline \mathrm{K} & \mathrm{E}, \mathrm{J} & 2 & 2 & 5 & & 0.250 \\\hline\end{array} a. Calculate the expected time for each
activity. Enter these values in the appropriate column in the table above.
b. Which activities form the critical path?
c. What is the estimated time of the critical path?
d. What are the project variance and the project standard deviation?
e. What is the probability of completion of the project after week 40?

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(a) A = 9.5 B = 3 C = 12 D = 5...

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