According to Monahan, the most significant form of predictive error made when conducting violence risk assessments is:

Question

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Ignoring or overlooking base rates is considered the most significant form of predictive error in violence risk assessments because it leads to inaccurate predictions about the likelihood of future violent behavior. Base rates provide the foundational probability of an event occurring within a given population, and failing to consider them can significantly skew risk assessments.

According to Monahan, the Most Significant Form of Predictive Error