The illusion that uncontrollable events are correlated with our actions is facilitated by a statistical phenomenon known as

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Regression toward the mean is when extreme or unusual scores on a variable tend to be followed by less extreme scores. This can create the illusion of a correlation between our actions and uncontrollable events because we tend to only notice when an extreme event is immediately followed by our action, and not when it is not.

The Illusion That Uncontrollable Events Are Correlated with Our Actions