Old Mrs. Fogarty has won at Bingo on the last six weekends, which is quite remarkable. Therefore, she is almost certain to lose next weekend.
A) No fallacy.
B) Missing the point.
C) False cause.
D) Weak analogy.
E) Argument against the person, circumstantial.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The assumption that Mrs. Fogarty is almost certain to lose next weekend because she has won the last six weekends is a false cause fallacy. There is no evidence to suggest that her previous wins have any impact on her future games. Each game of Bingo has the same probability of winning, regardless of past results.

Old Mrs Fogarty Has Won at Bingo on the Last Six