A few winners of the Nobel Peace Prize have been women. Therefore, it is likely that the next Nobel Peace Prize winner will be a woman.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

This is an inductive argument that is weak because the fact that a few women have won the Nobel Peace Prize in the past does not necessarily make it likely that the next winner will be a woman. The previous winners do not have any bearing on the future winners.

A Few Winners of the Nobel Peace Prize Have Been