Which method for establishing probability would be most appropriate for determining the probability that before the end of the 21st century there will be an American president of Asian descent?

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The most appropriate method for determining the probability of a future event, such as the election of an American president of Asian descent, is intuitive judgment. This method involves using expert opinions and subjective estimates based on available information to make a prediction, since there is no historical frequency or equal alternatives to rely on in this case.

Which Method for Establishing Probability Would Be Most Appropriate for Determining