Texas Wildcatters Inc. (TWI)t = 0. A $400 feasibility study would be conducted at t = 0. The results of this study would determine if the company should commence drilling operations or make no further investment and abandon the project. There is an 80% probability that the feasibility study would indicate that an exploratory well should be drilled. There is a 20% probability that no further work would be done. t = 1. If the feasibility study indicates good potential, the firm would spend $1,000 at t = 1 to drill an exploratory well. The best estimate is that there is a 60% probability that the exploratory well would indicate good potential and thus that further work would be done, and a 40% probability that the outlook would look bad and the project would be abandoned.
T = 2. If the exploratory well tests positive, the firm would go ahead and spend $10,000 to obtain an accurate estimate of the amount of oil in the field at t = 2.
T = 3. If the full drilling program is carried out, there is a 50% probability of finding a lot of oil and receiving a $25,000 cash inflow at t = 3, and a 50% probability of finding less oil and then only receiving a $10,000 inflow.
Since the project is considered to be quite risky, a 20.0% cost of capital is used. What is the project's expected NPV, in thousands of dollars?

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The Answer of Texas Wildcatters Inc. (TWI)t = 0. A $400 feasibility study would be conducted at t = 0. The results of this study would determine if the company should commence drilling operations or make no further investment and abandon the project. There is an 80% probability that the feasibility study would indicate that an exploratory well should be drilled. There is a 20% probability that no further work would be done. t = 1. If the feasibility study indicates good potential, the firm would spend $1,000 at t = 1 to drill an exploratory well. The best estimate is that there is a 60% probability that the exploratory well would indicate good potential and thus that further work would be done, and a 40% probability that the outlook would look bad and the project would be abandoned.
T = 2. If the exploratory well tests positive, the firm would go ahead and spend $10,000 to obtain an accurate estimate of the amount of oil in the field at t = 2.
T = 3. If the full drilling program is carried out, there is a 50% probability of finding a lot of oil and receiving a $25,000 cash inflow at t = 3, and a 50% probability of finding less oil and then only receiving a $10,000 inflow.
Since the project is considered to be quite risky, a 20.0% cost of capital is used. What is the project's expected NPV, in thousands of dollars?