According to Joshua Goldstein, major wars between powerful states have, since 1495, almost always occurred in the half of the phase of long wave cycles:

Name: According to Joshua Goldstein, major wars between powerful states have, since 1495, almost always occurred in the half of the phase of long wave cycles:
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According to Joshua Goldstein's research on long wave cycles and major wars, major wars between powerful states have almost always occurred in the second, upturn phase of these cycles.

According to Joshua Goldstein, Major Wars Between Powerful States Have