The Delphi method used for forecasting:
A) obtains forecasts through a comparative analysis with a previous situation.
B) uses measures that are believed to influence the behavior of a variable that the researcher wishes to forecast.
C) uses a single measure that weights multiple indicators and provides a measure of overall expectation.
D) uses a panel of experts, whose identities are typically kept confidential from one another, to respond to a sequence of questionnaires.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The Delphi method involves a panel of experts who anonymously respond to questionnaires in multiple rounds. After each round, a facilitator provides an anonymous summary of the experts' forecasts and reasons for their judgments. This process continues until the group reaches a consensus. The key feature of the Delphi method is its reliance on the collective intelligence of experts, while their identities are kept confidential from each other to prevent any single opinion from dominating the discussion.

The Delphi Method Used for Forecasting