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Several Authors Have Tried to Measure the "Persistence" in U uri,t=β0+β1×uri,tk+zi,tu r _ { i , t } = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } \times u r _ { i , t - k } + z _ { i , t }

Question 35

Essay

Several authors have tried to measure the "persistence" in U.S state unemployment rates
by running the following regression: uri,t=β0+β1×uri,tk+zi,tu r _ { i , t } = \beta _ { 0 } + \beta _ { 1 } \times u r _ { i , t - k } + z _ { i , t } where uru r is the state unemployment rate, ii is the index for the ii -th state, tt indicates a time period, and typically k10k \geq 10 . (a)Explain why finding a slope estimate of one and an intercept of zero is typically
interpreted as evidence of "persistence."

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