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In Considering the Purchase of a Certain Stock, You Attach

Question 54

Essay

In considering the purchase of a certain stock, you attach the following probabilities to
possible changes in the stock price over the next year.  Stock Price Change During  Next Twelve Months (%)  Probability +150.2+50.300.450.05150.05\begin{array} { | l | l | } \hline \begin{array} { l } \text { Stock Price Change During } \\\text { Next Twelve Months (\%) }\end{array} & \text { Probability } \\\hline + 15 & 0.2 \\\hline + 5 & 0.3 \\\hline 0 & 0.4 \\\hline - 5 & 0.05 \\\hline - 15 & 0.05 \\\hline\end{array} What is the expected value, the variance, and the standard deviation? Which is the most
likely outcome? Sketch the cumulative distribution function.
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