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A Researcher Investigating the Determinants of Crime in the United

Question 24

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A researcher investigating the determinants of crime in the United Kingdom has data for
42 police regions over 22 years.She estimates by OLS the following regression ln(cmrt)it=αi+ϕt+β1 unrtm it+β2 proyth it+β3ln(pp)it+uit;i=1,,42,t=1,,22\ln ( \mathrm { cmrt } ) _ { i t } = \alpha _ { i } + \phi _ { t } + \beta _ { 1 } \text { unrtm } _ { i t } + \beta _ { 2 } \text { proyth } _ { i t } + \beta _ { 3 } \ln ( p p ) _ { i t } + u _ { i t } ; i = 1 , \ldots , 42 , t = 1 , \ldots , 22
where cmrt\mathrm { cmrt } is the crime rate per head of population, unrtm is the unemployment rate of males, proyth is the proportion of youths, ppp p is the probability of punishment measured as (number of convictions)/(number of crimes reported). α\alpha and ϕ\phi are area and year fixed effects, where αi\alpha _ { i } equals one for area ii and is zero otherwise for all ii , and ϕt\phi _ { t } is one in year tt and zero for all other years for t=2,,22.ϕ1t = 2 , \ldots , 22 . \phi _ { 1 } is not included. (a) What is the purpose of excluding ϕ1\phi _ { 1 } ? What are the terms α\alpha and ϕ\phi likely to pick up? Discuss the advantages of using panel data for this type of investigation.

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This result would make the male unemploy...

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