In a campaign speech, a candidate for governor stated that about 63 percent of the people in the state were in favor of spending additional money on higher education. After the speech, a polling agency surveyed a random sample of 400 people and found 234 people who favored more spending on higher education. Based on the candidate's statement, the probability of finding 234 or fewer is approximately 0.97.

Question

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The candidate's statement suggests that 63% of the population supports the initiative. In a sample of 400, the expected number supporting would be 252 (0.63 * 400). Finding 234 or fewer supporters would be less likely than 0.97 probability, indicating a discrepancy with the candidate's claim.

In a Campaign Speech, a Candidate for Governor Stated That