You dream that you win $20 million in the state lottery. The next morning, you find a $20 bill lying on the sidewalk. If you were to conclude that your dreams could predict the future,which logical fallacy would you have committed?

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The fallacy of positive instances involves giving more weight to positive or confirming instances while ignoring negative or disconfirming instances. In this case, finding the $20 bill could be seen as a positive instance confirming the dream prediction, while ignoring the fact that winning the lottery is a highly unlikely event and that dreams are not a reliable source of predicting the future.

You Dream That You Win $20 Million in the State