When Eileen told her father that someone had stolen her new cell phone at school, he said that she should have known better than to take her phone to school. "It was bound to happen," he said. This example most clearly illustrates:

Question

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Hindsight bias is the tendency to believe that an event was more predictable than it actually was, after the event has already occurred. In this case, Eileen's father is saying that it was obvious that her phone would be stolen, even though it was not actually obvious at the time.

When Eileen Told Her Father That Someone Had Stolen Her