If corporate downsizing and lack of job security cause consumers to spend less and save more, what will be the impact on the exchange rate and trade balance? Use the long-run model of a small open economy to illustrate graphically the impact of this decline in consumer confidence on the exchange rate and the trade balance. Assume the country starts from a position of trade balance, i.e., exports equal imports. Be sure to label: i. the axes; ii. the curves; iii. the initial equilibrium values; iv. the direction the curves shift; and v. the new long-run equilibrium values.
b. Based on your graphical analysis, explain the predicted impact of a decline in consumer confidence on the exchange rate and the U.S. trade balance.
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