For a forecast to show skill it must
A)be better than one based on persistence or climatology.
B)be accurate to within 2°C of the predicted temperature.
C)be accurate for over more than 90 percent of the forecast area.
D)use the analog method of forecasting.
E)use a probability.

Question

For a forecast to show skill it must
A)be better than one based on persistence or climatology.
B)be accurate to within 2°C of the predicted temperature.
C)​be accurate for over more than 90 percent of the forecast area.
D)​use the analog method of forecasting.
E)​use a probability.

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Skill in forecasting refers to the ability to provide better forecasts than those based on persistence or climatology. Therefore, for a forecast to show skill, it must be better than these baseline methods. The other options (B, C, D, and E) are not necessarily criteria for showing skill in forecasting.

For a Forecast to Show Skill It Must