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An Analyst Predicts Two Economic States Next Year

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An analyst predicts two economic states next year.A boom economy has a 70% probability of occurring, while a recession has a 30% probability of occurrence.A portfolio contains two stocks L and U.Stock L has a 40% weighting in the portfolio, while stock U has a 60% weighting.Stock L is estimated to provide a 10% return in a boom economy and a 4% return in a recession.Stock U is estimated to provide a 5% return in a boom economy and a -8% return in a recession.Calculate the portfolio return.

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