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A Company Selling Swimming Goggles Wants to Analyze Its Australian

Question 116

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A company selling swimming goggles wants to analyze its Australian sales figures.
Time series forecasting with regression was used to generate Excel output to estimate trend and seasonal effects of the time series of Swimming goggle sales (in thousands of dollars) where the origin is the March Quarter 2000 and Q1 denotes sales in the March quarter, Q3 denotes sales in the September quarter and Q4 denotes sales in the December quarter. SUMMARY OUTPUT
 Regression Statistios  Multiple R 0.9460 R Square 0.8950 Adjusted R Square 0.8864 Standard Error 3.7394 Obserwations 54\begin{array}{l}\hline\text { Regression Statistios }\\\begin{array}{lc}\hline\text { Multiple R } & 0.9460 \\\text { R Square } & 0.8950 \\\text { Adjusted R Square } & 0.8864 \\\text { Standard Error } & 3.7394 \\\text { Obserwations } & 54 \\\hline\end{array}\end{array}

 ANOYA \text { ANOYA }
dfSSMSF Significance F  Regression 45837.5960031459.4104.37012.41949E23 Residual 49685.163256413.9829 Total 536522.759259\begin{array}{lcrrrr} & d f & S S & M S & F & \text { Significance F } \\\hline \text { Regression } & 4 & 5837.596003 & 1459.4 & 104.3701 & 2.41949 \mathrm{E}-23 \\\text { Residual } & 49 & 685.1632564 & 13.9829 & \\\text { Total } & 53 & 6522.759259 & & \\\hline\end{array}

 Coeffients  Standard Error  tStat  P-value  Lower 95% Upper 95% Intercept 3.05881.33312.29440.02610.37975.7378t0.25180.03277.70520.00000.18610.3175Q112.46041.3897896640.00009.667715.2530Q31.14581.47210.77840.44011.81244.1041Q423.91211.440316.60250.000021.017726.8064\begin{array}{lcrrrrrr} & \text { Coeffients } & \text { Standard Error } & \text { tStat } & \text { P-value } & \text { Lower } 95 \% & \text { Upper } 95 \% \\\hline \text { Intercept } & 3.0588 & 1.3331 & 2.2944 & 0.0261 & 0.3797 & 5.7378 \\\mathrm{t} & 0.2518 & 0.0327 & 7.7052 & 0.0000 & 0.1861 & 0.3175 \\\mathrm{Q} 1 & 12.4604 & 1.3897 & 89664 & 0.0000 & 9.6677 & 15.2530 \\\mathrm{Q} 3& 1.1458 & 1.4721 & 0.7784 & 0.4401 & -1.8124 & 4.1041 \\\mathrm{Q}4 & 23.9121 & 1.4403 & 16.6025 & 0.0000 & 21.0177 & 26.8064 \\\hline\end{array} (a) Using p-values test the significance of the independent variables.
(b) Test the significance of the overall regression equation.

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(a) Ho: βt = 0
HA: βt ≠ 0 p-value = 0, so tr...

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