SCENARIO 16-11
The manager of a health club has recorded mean attendance in newly introduced step classes over the last 15 months: 32.1,39.5,40.3,46.0,65.2,73.1,83.7,106.8,118.0,133.1,163.3,182.8,
205.6,249.1,and 263.5.She then used Microsoft Excel to obtain the following partial output for both a first- and second-order autoregressive model.

-Referring to Scenario 16-11,using the first-order model,the forecast of mean attendance for month 17 is .

Question

SCENARIO 16-11
The manager of a health club has recorded mean attendance in newly introduced step classes over the last 15 months: 32.1,39.5,40.3,46.0,65.2,73.1,83.7,106.8,118.0,133.1,163.3,182.8,
205.6,249.1,and 263.5.She then used Microsoft Excel to obtain the following partial output for both a first- and second-order autoregressive model.

-Referring to Scenario 16-11,using the first-order model,the forecast of mean attendance for month 17 is .

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The Answer of SCENARIO 16-11
The manager of a health club has recorded mean attendance in newly introduced step classes over the last 15 months: 32.1,39.5,40.3,46.0,65.2,73.1,83.7,106.8,118.0,133.1,163.3,182.8,
205.6,249.1,and 263.5.She then used Microsoft Excel to obtain the following partial output for both a first- and second-order autoregressive model.

-Referring to Scenario 16-11,using the first-order model,the forecast of mean attendance for month 17 is .

SCENARIO 16-11 The Manager of a Health Club Has Recorded Mean Attendance