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Cysts After Researching Cysts of a Particular Type, a Doctor

Question 186

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Cysts After researching cysts of a particular type, a doctor learns that out of 10,000 such cysts examined, 1,500 are malignant and 8,500 are benign. A diagnostic test is available which is accurate 80% of the time (whether the cyst is malignant or not). The doctor has discovered the same type of cyst in a patient. {Cysts Narrative} What is the probability that the patient will test positive?

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P (+)= P (+ and M )+ P (+ and ...

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