Based on a stringent mitigation scenario for future fossil fuel consumption, temperatures in the Arctic are expected to rise by at least 2°C, and under a minimal mitigation scenario would rise by about 5°C by mid-century.

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Under stringent mitigation scenarios aimed at limiting global warming, Arctic temperatures are still expected to rise significantly due to the region's sensitivity to climate change. In scenarios with minimal mitigation efforts, the temperature increase is projected to be even more pronounced, reflecting the Arctic's vulnerability to changes in global fossil fuel consumption patterns.

Based on a Stringent Mitigation Scenario for Future Fossil Fuel