One day, a tree on the Lakewood Golf Course was hit by lightning. The following weekend Galen continued his golf game near that tree during a thunderstorm because he was certain that lightning would not strike there twice. Galen's decision was based on

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Galen's decision is based on the gambler's fallacy, which is the mistaken belief that if something happens more frequently than normal during a given period, it will happen less frequently in the future, or vice versa. In this case, Galen incorrectly assumes that because the tree was already struck by lightning, it is less likely to be struck again.

One Day, a Tree on the Lakewood Golf Course Was