As many states start a war that they are likely to lose, expected utility theory suggests that states do not choose a successful strategy but instead choose a strategy that
A) has the highest probability of winning.
B) has the highest expected utility.
C) is simply based on misperception.
D) is initiated by irrational leaders.

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

Expected utility theory suggests that states will choose the strategy with the highest expected utility, which takes into account both the probability of winning and the potential gains or losses associated with that outcome. Therefore, even if a state is likely to lose a war, it may still choose a strategy that yields the highest expected utility, such as minimizing losses or achieving some other secondary objective. In other words, the state may prioritize its interests and try to maximize its gains or minimize its losses, rather than focusing solely on the probability of winning.

As Many States Start a War That They Are Likely