The government of one of the counties near Disney World in Florida predicted a modest 6 percent growth in tourism for 1992 over 1991. The actual amount of tourism in 1992, which affects the taxes the county can collect, was down in comparison to 1991. Further investigation showed that the 1991 numbers were higher than usual because of the Gulf War, when many Americans chose not to travel abroad. The county planners had apparently been biased by the ________.
A) availability heuristic
B) representative heuristic
C) anchoring and adjustment heuristic
D) recent-event heuristic

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The county planners were influenced by the anchoring and adjustment heuristic, as they based their predictions on the unusually high tourism numbers from 1991 without adequately adjusting for the unique circumstances of that year.

The Government of One of the Counties near Disney World