Suppose I am estimating the overall probability of completing a project on time. I calculate the following chances of completing specific phases of the project on time:
Conduct literature search 90 percent
Obtain articles by interlibrary loan 80 percent
Analyze articles 90 percent
Write draft 80 percent
Revise and finalize 90 percent
What is my overall probability of completing this project on time?
A) 90 percent
B) between 70 - 90 percent
C) between 50 - 70 percent
D) less than 50 percent

Question

Quizplus · Accepted Answer

The Answer of Suppose I am estimating the overall probability of completing a project on time. I calculate the following chances of completing specific phases of the project on time:
Conduct literature search 90 percent
Obtain articles by interlibrary loan 80 percent
Analyze articles 90 percent
Write draft 80 percent
Revise and finalize 90 percent
What is my overall probability of completing this project on time?
A) 90 percent
B) between 70 - 90 percent
C) between 50 - 70 percent
D) less than 50 percent

Suppose I Am Estimating the Overall Probability of Completing a Project